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Copa del Rey

Referee: Mario Melero

Europa Fc

T S

1–2

Full-time

Las Palmas

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Europa Fc Las Palmas

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

7,0

Scored

2,0

7,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+7,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%

6 Shots 22

2 Shots on target 12

0 Blocked shots 4

10 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

3 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Europa Fc 36. · Las Palmas 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celta	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Barbastro	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Elche	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Zaragoza	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Granada	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+7	3
8	Yeclano	2	1	0	1	+5	3
9	Betis	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Deportiva Minera	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Girona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
23	Vic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
24	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Estepona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Conquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Ejea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Parla Escuela	2	1	0	1	+0	3
54	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-1	3
55	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
56	Manises	2	1	0	1	-1	3
57	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
58	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Salamanca UDS	2	1	0	1	-6	3
60	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Real Ávila	2	0	1	1	-2	1
69	San Tirso	2	0	1	1	-4	1
70	Gévora	2	0	1	1	-5	1
71	Ontiñena	2	0	1	1	-7	1
72	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Don Benito	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Atlético Paso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Xerez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
98	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
99	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
100	Cuarte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
101	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Llanera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
107	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	0
108	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
109	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
110	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
111	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
112	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
113	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
114	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-4	0
115	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0
116	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
117	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
118	Tudelano	1	0	0	1	-5	0
119	Jove Español	1	0	0	1	-5	0
120	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barbastro	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Vic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Estepona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Cacereño	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Europa Fc	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Conquense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Ejea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Chiclana	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Astur	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	UD San Pedro	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	Villamuriel	2	1	0	1	-4	3
15	Salamanca UDS	2	1	0	1	-6	3
16	Zaragoza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Olot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Baztán	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Escobedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Real Ávila	2	0	1	1	-2	1
21	San Tirso	2	0	1	1	-4	1
22	Gévora	2	0	1	1	-5	1
23	Lanzarote	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Guijuelo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Ciudad de Lucena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Langreo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Bergantiños	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	SS Reyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Don Benito	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Atlético Paso	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Compostela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Águilas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Sonseca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Parla Escuela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Xerez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Dolorense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Cuarte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Badalona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Cortes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Llanera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Móstoles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	CD Coria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	Real Jaén	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Manises	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	L'Hospitalet	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Extremadura 1924	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
57	Tudelano	1	0	0	1	-5	0
58	Jove Español	1	0	0	1	-5	0
59	Laredo	1	0	0	1	-6	0
60	Ontiñena	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celta	2	2	0	0	+11	6
2	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Elche	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Granada	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Las Palmas	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Yeclano	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	Betis	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Deportiva Minera	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Vallecano	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Unionistas de Salamanca	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Girona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Barakaldo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Ferrol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Santander	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Zamora	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Orihuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Marbella	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Andorra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Alaves	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Castellon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Parla Escuela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Cordoba	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Selaya	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Ontiñena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Playas Sotavento	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Ponferradina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Malaga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Gimnástica Segoviana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Albacete	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Mirandes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Aurrerá Vitoria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Ibiza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Promesas EDF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Levante	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-4	0
65	Sporting Mahón	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.