OBOS-ligaen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Aalesund
Stabaek
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lillestrom
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | +17 | 24 |
| 2 |
Start
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 3 |
Kongsvinger
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |
Odd
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 5 |
Sogndal
|
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 |
hodd
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 15 |
| 7 |
Raufoss
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +0 | 14 |
| 8 |
Aalesund
|
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 9 |
Egersund
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 10 |
Ranheim
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 |
Moss
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 13 |
| 12 |
Stabaek
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 12 |
| 13 |
Asane
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 |
Mjondalen
|
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -14 | 6 |
| 15 |
Lyn
|
10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 |
Skeid
|
10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
M. Andresen
J. Kitolano
K. Nesso
S. Haram
D. Johannsson
H. Melland
Coach: Kjetil André Rekdal
A. Andresen
J. Isaksen
O. Spiten-Nysaeter
Coach: Mikael Lennart Tage Stahre
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ranheim
Aalesund
Aalesund
Start
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
hodd
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.