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Eliteserien

Referee: Mathias Stofringshaug

Viking

S S S S S

3–0

Full-time

Fredrikstad

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Viking Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

3,3

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 12/10 matches

Win Ø 63%

75%

50%

Points per game

2,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

75%

30%

Both score Ø 53%

75%

30%

Average goals

4,2

2,3

Scored

2,8

1,4

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,27 xG 1,17

42% Possession 58%

14 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 7

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Viking 1. · Fredrikstad 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	12	9	2	1	+18	+13.7	29
2	Brann	12	7	2	3	+2	+10.4	23
3	Rosenborg	12	6	4	2	+3	+6.2	22
4	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	1	2	+15	+7.7	19
5	Tromso	10	6	1	3	+4	+1.6	19
6	Sandefjord	10	6	0	4	+5	+1.3	18
7	Fredrikstad	10	5	2	3	+5	-2.9	17
8	Kristiansund	12	5	1	6	-2	-5.3	16
9	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	5	2	+6	+5.4	14
10	Molde	11	4	2	5	+0	+0.8	14
11	Bryne	10	4	1	5	-3	+0.6	13
12	Valerenga	11	3	2	6	-4	-1.9	11
13	Ham-Kam	10	3	2	5	-9	-6.2	11
14	KFUM Oslo	10	2	2	6	-4	-1.5	8
15	Stromsgodset	10	2	0	8	-9	-7.7	6
16	Haugesund	11	0	1	10	-27	-22.0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sandefjord	5	5	0	0	+11	+4.6	15
2	Viking	6	4	2	0	+10	+8.1	14
3	Brann	7	4	2	1	+3	+6.7	14
4	Fredrikstad	6	4	1	1	+6	-1.5	13
5	Bodo/Glimt	5	4	0	1	+11	+5.6	12
6	Rosenborg	6	3	3	0	+5	+7.0	12
7	Tromso	5	3	0	2	+1	+2.1	9
8	Bryne	5	3	0	2	+0	+4.1	9
9	Ham-Kam	5	2	1	2	-3	-1.8	7
10	KFUM Oslo	5	2	0	3	+2	-0.5	6
11	Kristiansund	5	2	0	3	+0	+0.6	6
12	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	2	2	+2	+3.6	5
13	Valerenga	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.0	4
14	Molde	5	1	1	3	-3	+1.6	4
15	Haugesund	5	0	1	4	-14	-6.5	1
16	Stromsgodset	5	0	0	5	-8	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	6	5	0	1	+8	+5.6	15
2	Tromso	5	3	1	1	+3	-0.5	10
3	Molde	6	3	1	2	+3	-0.9	10
4	Kristiansund	7	3	1	3	-2	-5.9	10
5	Rosenborg	6	3	1	2	-2	-0.8	10
6	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	3	0	+4	+1.7	9
7	Brann	5	3	0	2	-1	+3.7	9
8	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+4	+2.1	7
9	Valerenga	6	2	1	3	-1	-0.9	7
10	Stromsgodset	5	2	0	3	-1	-4.0	6
11	Fredrikstad	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.5	4
12	Bryne	5	1	1	3	-3	-3.4	4
13	Ham-Kam	5	1	1	3	-6	-4.5	4
14	Sandefjord	5	1	0	4	-6	-3.3	3
15	KFUM Oslo	5	0	2	3	-6	-1.1	2
16	Haugesund	6	0	0	6	-13	-15.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.