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Championship
Referee: J Busby
Coventry
T U T T T
3–0
Full-time
Blackburn
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Coventry Blackburn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
14%
57%
Points per game
0,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,4
2,9
Scored
0,9
2,0
Conceded
1,6
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,03 xG 0,45
45% Possession 55%
18 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Coventry 21. · Blackburn 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 West Brom 7 5 1 1 +7 +5.3 16
2 Blackburn 7 4 3 0 +8 +1.5 15
3 Sunderland 7 5 0 2 +8 +3.2 15
4 Sheffield United 7 4 3 0 +6 +3.4 15
5 Burnley 7 4 2 1 +9 +1.0 14
6 Leeds 7 4 2 1 +8 +8.7 14
7 Watford 7 4 1 2 +2 -1.2 13
8 Swansea 7 3 2 2 +3 -4.1 11
9 Middlesbrough 7 3 2 2 +3 +8.0 11
10 Norwich 7 3 2 2 +2 +2.6 11
11 Oxford 7 3 1 3 +2 -2.7 10
12 Hull 7 2 3 2 +1 +0.9 9
13 Derby 7 3 0 4 +0 -1.8 9
14 Bristol City 7 2 3 2 -4 +0.7 9
15 Millwall 7 2 2 3 +2 +6.0 8
16 Plymouth 7 2 2 3 -3 -8.6 8
17 QPR 7 1 4 2 -3 -2.4 7
18 Sheffield Weds 7 2 1 4 -5 -1.8 7
19 Luton 7 2 1 4 -5 +2.5 7
20 Stoke 7 2 0 5 -7 -3.1 6
21 Coventry 7 1 2 4 -5 +2.6 5
22 Preston 7 1 2 4 -8 -7.5 5
23 Portsmouth 7 0 4 3 -6 -7.2 4
24 Cardiff 7 0 1 6 -15 -6.0 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Coventry Blackburn
E. Mason-Clark 🔁
↦ T. Sakamoto
10′
1–0 J. Bidwell
J. Rudoni
11′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 H. Wright
48′
55′
🔁 R. Hedges
↦ T. Dolan
Ben Sheaf 🟨
58′
60′
🟨 Todd Cantwell
67′
🟨 Hayden Carter
71′
🔁 J. Buckley
↦ L. Travis
72′
🔁 L. Baker
↦ S. Tronstad
72′
🔁 M. Gueye
↦ T. Cantwell
72′
🔁 A. Cozier-Duberry
↦ H. Pickering
J. Latibeaudiere 🔁
↦ B. Sheaf
78′
81′
🟨 John Buckley
3–0 B. Thomas-Asante
E. Mason-Clark
84′
V. Torp 🔁
↦ J. Eccles
86′
E. Simms 🔁
↦ B. Thomas-Asante
87′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Coventry

4-2-3-1
13 B. Wilson G
27 M. van Ewijk D
4 B. Thomas D
15 L. Kitching D
21 J. Bidwell D
28 J. Eccles M
14 B. Sheaf M
7 T. Sakamoto M
5 J. Rudoni M
11 H. Wright M
23 B. Thomas-Asante F
Bench (9)
10 E. Mason-Clark
22 J. Latibeaudiere
29 V. Torp
9 E. Simms
37 N. Bassette
2 L. Binks
1 O. Dovin
3 J. Dasilva
54 K. Andrews

Coach: M. Robins

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
1 A. Pears G
17 H. Carter D
15 D. Batth D
5 D. Hyam D
3 H. Pickering D
6 S. Tronstad M
27 L. Travis M
14 A. Weimann M
8 T. Cantwell M
10 T. Dolan M
23 Y. Ohashi F
Bench (9)
19 R. Hedges
21 J. Buckley
42 L. Baker
9 M. Gueye
33 A. Cozier-Duberry
4 K. McFadzean
12 B. Tóth
7 A. Sigurðsson
11 J. Rankin-Costello

Coach: J. Eustace

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,11
U
3,43
B
3,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,98
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Busby · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.