Championship
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Coventry
Blackburn
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
West Brom
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | +5.3 | 16 |
| 2 |
Blackburn
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | +1.5 | 15 |
| 3 |
Sunderland
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +8 | +3.2 | 15 |
| 4 |
Sheffield United
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | +3.4 | 15 |
| 5 |
Burnley
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +9 | +1.0 | 14 |
| 6 |
Leeds
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | +8.7 | 14 |
| 7 |
Watford
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | -1.2 | 13 |
| 8 |
Swansea
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | -4.1 | 11 |
| 9 |
Middlesbrough
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | +8.0 | 11 |
| 10 |
Norwich
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | +2.6 | 11 |
| 11 |
Oxford
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +2 | -2.7 | 10 |
| 12 |
Hull
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | +0.9 | 9 |
| 13 |
Derby
|
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | +0 | -1.8 | 9 |
| 14 |
Bristol City
|
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -4 | +0.7 | 9 |
| 15 |
Millwall
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +2 | +6.0 | 8 |
| 16 |
Plymouth
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | -8.6 | 8 |
| 17 |
QPR
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3 | -2.4 | 7 |
| 18 |
Sheffield Weds
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | -1.8 | 7 |
| 19 |
Luton
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | +2.5 | 7 |
| 20 |
Stoke
|
7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -7 | -3.1 | 6 |
| 21 |
Coventry
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | +2.6 | 5 |
| 22 |
Preston
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | -7.5 | 5 |
| 23 |
Portsmouth
|
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -6 | -7.2 | 4 |
| 24 |
Cardiff
|
7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -15 | -6.0 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
B. Wilson
G
M. van Ewijk
D
B. Thomas
D
L. Kitching
D
J. Bidwell
D
J. Eccles
M
B. Sheaf
M
T. Sakamoto
M
J. Rudoni
M
B. Thomas-Asante
F
Coach: M. Robins
A. Pears
G
H. Carter
D
D. Batth
D
D. Hyam
D
H. Pickering
D
L. Travis
M
T. Cantwell
M
T. Dolan
M
Y. Ohashi
F
Coach: J. Eustace
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Leeds
Coventry
Coventry
Swansea
Coventry
Tottenham
Watford
Coventry
Coventry
Norwich
J Busby · 113 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.