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Ekstraklasa
Referee: T Kwiatkowski
Piast Gliwice
T U S S T
0–1
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Piast Gliwice Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,49 xG 0,38
62% Possession 38%
10 Shots 8
0 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Cracovia 2 2 0 0 +5 +0.6 6
2 Radomiak Radom 2 1 1 0 +4 -0.1 4
3 Nieciecza 2 1 0 1 +2 +0.7 3
4 Wisla Plock 1 1 0 0 +2 +3.0 3
5 Gornik Zabrze 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.2 3
6 Widzew Lodz 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.1 3
7 Rakow 1 1 0 0 +1 +2.1 3
8 Motor Lublin 1 1 0 0 +1 +0.9 3
9 Arka Gdynia 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.9 1
10 Lechia Gdansk 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.2 0
11 Zaglebie 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.1 0
12 GKS Katowice 1 0 0 1 -1 -2.1 0
13 Korona Kielce 1 0 0 1 -2 -3.0 0
14 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 -3 +0.1 0
15 Pogon Szczecin 1 0 0 1 -4 +0.1 0
16 Jagiellonia 1 0 0 1 -4 -1.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Kwiatkowski · 76 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.