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Eliteserien

Referee: R Saggi

KFUM Oslo

S U U S T

2–0

Full-time

Lillestrom

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

KFUM Oslo Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 19/20 matches

Win Ø 31%

32%

30%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

47%

70%

Both score Ø 59%

63%

55%

Average goals

2,5

3,1

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,24 xG 0,47

54% Possession 46%

11 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match KFUM Oslo 7. · Lillestrom 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	20	13	5	2	+31	+15.7	44
2	Viking	20	10	6	4	+12	+10.5	36
3	Brann	19	10	6	3	+10	+10.5	36
4	Molde	19	10	4	5	+16	+11.9	34
5	Fredrikstad	20	8	7	5	+4	+3.1	31
6	Rosenborg	20	9	3	8	+0	+0.4	30
7	KFUM Oslo	19	6	8	5	+0	+6.0	26
8	Ham-Kam	20	6	6	8	-1	-1.9	24
9	Tromso	20	7	3	10	-5	-11.8	24
10	Stromsgodset	20	6	5	9	-9	-5.9	23
11	Sarpsborg 08	20	6	5	9	-13	-7.3	23
12	Kristiansund	18	5	6	7	-3	-8.0	21
13	Haugesund	20	6	3	11	-9	-5.2	21
14	Sandefjord	19	5	5	9	-4	-0.8	20
15	Lillestrom	20	6	2	12	-14	-5.0	20
16	Odd	20	4	6	10	-15	-12.2	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	3	0	+20	+8.9	24
2	Viking	11	7	3	1	+10	+7.3	24
3	Rosenborg	10	7	1	2	+7	+4.4	22
4	Molde	10	5	2	3	+9	+8.9	17
5	Brann	9	5	2	2	+4	+9.9	17
6	Sandefjord	10	5	1	4	+2	+1.3	16
7	Kristiansund	8	4	3	1	+4	+2.7	15
8	Fredrikstad	10	3	5	2	-1	+4.1	14
9	Stromsgodset	9	3	3	3	+1	+3.5	12
10	Haugesund	10	4	0	6	-4	-0.6	12
11	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	2	5	-7	-1.3	11
12	Tromso	10	3	1	6	-2	-0.6	10
13	Odd	11	2	4	5	-7	-3.6	10
14	Ham-Kam	9	2	3	4	-2	-1.8	9
15	KFUM Oslo	10	1	5	4	-6	+7.0	8
16	Lillestrom	10	2	2	6	-10	-2.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	10	6	2	2	+11	+6.8	20
2	Brann	10	5	4	1	+6	+0.6	19
3	KFUM Oslo	9	5	3	1	+6	-1.0	18
4	Molde	9	5	2	2	+7	+2.9	17
5	Fredrikstad	10	5	2	3	+5	-0.9	17
6	Ham-Kam	11	4	3	4	+1	-0.1	15
7	Tromso	10	4	2	4	-3	-11.1	14
8	Viking	9	3	3	3	+2	+3.1	12
9	Lillestrom	10	4	0	6	-4	-2.7	12
10	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	3	4	-6	-6.0	12
11	Stromsgodset	11	3	2	6	-10	-9.4	11
12	Haugesund	10	2	3	5	-5	-4.6	9
13	Rosenborg	10	2	2	6	-7	-4.0	8
14	Odd	9	2	2	5	-8	-8.6	8
15	Kristiansund	10	1	3	6	-7	-10.6	6
16	Sandefjord	9	0	4	5	-6	-2.2	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.