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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Jagiellonia

S T U T S

2–2

Full-time

Pogon Szczecin

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Pogon Szczecin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 52%

55%

48%

Points per game

1,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

79%

52%

Both score Ø 59%

72%

45%

Average goals

3,6

3,0

Scored

2,3

1,9

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,43 xG 1,23

56% Possession 44%

13 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

9 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

6 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jagiellonia 1. · Pogon Szczecin 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	29	16	7	6	+27	+13.0	55
2	Slask Wroclaw	29	14	9	6	+12	+6.0	51
3	Lech Poznan	29	14	9	6	+9	-5.7	51
4	Gornik Zabrze	29	14	6	9	+7	-6.5	48
5	Pogon Szczecin	29	14	5	10	+20	+13.6	47
6	Legia	29	12	11	6	+10	+7.7	47
7	Rakow	29	12	10	7	+18	+20.4	46
8	Widzew Lodz	29	12	6	11	+1	-3.2	42
9	Piast Gliwice	30	8	14	8	+0	+13.2	38
10	Stal Mielec	29	10	8	11	-4	-10.2	38
11	Zaglebie	29	9	8	12	-12	+2.1	35
12	Radomiak Radom	29	9	8	12	-13	-3.4	35
13	Warta Poznan	30	8	10	12	-6	-9.1	34
14	Cracovia	29	6	14	9	-2	-1.5	32
15	Puszcza	29	7	11	11	-11	-15.7	32
16	Korona Kielce	29	6	12	11	-4	+0.2	30
17	LKS Lodz	29	5	6	18	-33	-14.9	21
18	Ruch Chorzow	29	2	14	13	-19	-6.0	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	14	10	2	2	+24	+13.7	32
2	Rakow	15	9	5	1	+22	+13.4	32
3	Lech Poznan	14	9	3	2	+15	+1.5	30
4	Legia	15	7	6	2	+11	+8.6	27
5	Gornik Zabrze	14	8	3	3	+6	-3.7	27
6	Widzew Lodz	14	9	0	5	+3	+3.7	27
7	Stal Mielec	14	7	5	2	+9	+0.6	26
8	Slask Wroclaw	14	7	4	3	+8	+9.3	25
9	Piast Gliwice	15	6	6	3	+6	+12.2	24
10	Pogon Szczecin	15	7	2	6	+8	+14.6	23
11	Korona Kielce	15	5	7	3	+6	+9.0	22
12	Puszcza	14	5	7	2	+1	-3.0	22
13	Zaglebie	15	5	5	5	-2	+1.7	20
14	Warta Poznan	15	4	5	6	-1	-2.8	17
15	Radomiak Radom	14	4	5	5	-3	+2.1	17
16	LKS Lodz	15	4	5	6	-10	-9.0	17
17	Cracovia	15	3	7	5	+0	+0.3	16
18	Ruch Chorzow	15	2	7	6	-4	+2.4	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	15	7	5	3	+4	-3.3	26
2	Pogon Szczecin	14	7	3	4	+12	-1.1	24
3	Jagiellonia	15	6	5	4	+3	-0.8	23
4	Gornik Zabrze	15	6	3	6	+1	-2.8	21
5	Lech Poznan	15	5	6	4	-6	-7.2	21
6	Legia	14	5	5	4	-1	-0.9	20
7	Radomiak Radom	15	5	3	7	-10	-5.6	18
8	Warta Poznan	15	4	5	6	-5	-6.4	17
9	Cracovia	14	3	7	4	-2	-1.8	16
10	Widzew Lodz	15	3	6	6	-2	-6.9	15
11	Zaglebie	14	4	3	7	-10	+0.4	15
12	Rakow	14	3	5	6	-4	+7.0	14
13	Piast Gliwice	15	2	8	5	-6	+1.1	14
14	Stal Mielec	15	3	3	9	-13	-10.8	12
15	Puszcza	15	2	4	9	-12	-12.7	10
16	Korona Kielce	14	1	5	8	-10	-8.7	8
17	Ruch Chorzow	14	0	7	7	-15	-8.5	7
18	LKS Lodz	14	1	1	12	-23	-5.9	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.