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Superligaen
Referee: M Krogh
Aarhus
T T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Midtjylland
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aarhus Midtjylland
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
4,3
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. May -24 Midtjylland – Aarhus 2–1 7. Apr -24 Aarhus – Midtjylland 0–1 25. Feb -24 Aarhus – Midtjylland 2–3 3. Sep -23 Midtjylland – Aarhus 1–1 9. Oct -22 Aarhus – Midtjylland 0–1

Match report

Aarhus Midtjylland
1–0 T. Bech ⚽
8′
Mikael Anderson 🟨
35′
Mads Emil Madsen ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
40′
Patrick Mortensen ❌
penalty missed
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Rømer
↦ O. Brynhildsen
47′
⚽ A. Buksa 1–1
A. Şimşir
56′
🔁 K. Askildsen
↦ D. Castillo
68′
🔁 V. Bak Jensen
↦ Paulinho
68′
🔁 D. Osorio
↦ Franculino Djú
F. Brandhof 🔁
↦ G. Links
72′
E. Kahl 🔁
↦ J. Jensen-Abbew
77′
S. Haugen 🔁
↦ T. Bech
77′
81′
🔁 E. Chilufya
↦ A. Şimşir
J. Andersen 🔁
↦ F. Beijmo
87′
M. Akoto 🔁
↦ M. Anderson
87′
Jacob Andersen 🟨
89′
Henrik Dalsgaard 🟨
99′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aarhus

3-5-2
1 J. Hansen G
3 H. Dalsgaard D
5 F. Tingager D
40 J. Jensen-Abbew D
2 F. Beijmo M
8 M. Anderson M
6 N. Poulsen M
7 M. Madsen M
11 G. Links M
31 T. Bech F
9 P. Mortensen F
Bench (9)
29 F. Brandhof
19 E. Kahl
10 S. Haugen
26 J. Andersen
27 M. Akoto
18 R. Gyamfi
23 T. Bach
22 L. Wahlstedt
13 J. Serra

Coach: U. Rösler

Midtjylland

4-4-2
16 E. Ólafsson G
6 J. Andersson D
4 O. Diao D
22 M. Bech D
29 Paulinho D
9 O. Brynhildsen M
24 O. Sørensen M
21 D. Castillo M
58 A. Şimşir M
18 A. Buksa F
7 Franculino Djú F
Bench (9)
2 A. Rømer
17 K. Askildsen
55 V. Bak Jensen
11 D. Osorio
14 E. Chilufya
1 J. Lössl
45 A. Kamara
73 Juninho
13 A. Gabriel

Coach: T. Thomasberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.