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Champions League
Referee: D Orsato
Dortmund
U U T S S
2–0
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,8
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/11 matches
Win Ø 44%
43%
45%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
14%
64%
Both score Ø 63%
43%
82%
Average goals
1,9
3,5
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,47 xG 1,57
49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 1
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Feb -24 PSV Eindhoven – Dortmund 1–1

Match report

Dortmund PSV Eindhoven
1–0 J. Sancho ⚽
J. Brandt
3′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 H. Lozano
↦ G. Til
F. Nmecha 🔁
↦ J. Brandt
58′
K. Adeyemi 🔁
↦ D. Malen
70′
M. Reus 🔁
↦ J. Sancho
75′
Niclas Füllkrug ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
78′
82′
🔁 R. Pepi
↦ J. Veerman
86′
🔁 I. Babadi
↦ Mauro Júnior
Niklas Süle 🟨
88′
Felix Nmecha 🟨
89′
2–0 M. Reus ⚽
N. Füllkrug
95′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobel G
25 N. Süle D
23 E. Can D
15 M. Hummels D
22 I. Maatsen D
6 S. Özcan M
20 M. Sabitzer M
21 D. Malen M
19 J. Brandt M
10 J. Sancho M
14 N. Füllkrug F
Bench (11)
8 F. Nmecha
27 K. Adeyemi
11 M. Reus
38 K. Wätjen
5 R. Bensebaïni
35 M. Lotka
18 Y. Moukoko
16 J. Duranville
33 A. Meyer
43 J. Bynoe-Gittens
17 M. Wolf

Coach: E. Terzić

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 W. Benítez G
3 J. Teze D
22 J. Schouten D
18 O. Boscagli D
8 S. Dest D
20 G. Til M
23 J. Veerman M
17 Mauro Júnior M
11 J. Bakayoko F
9 L. de Jong F
10 M. Tillman F
Bench (12)
27 H. Lozano
14 R. Pepi
26 I. Babadi
30 P. van Aanholt
5 André Ramalho
16 J. Drommel
2 S. Sambo
31 T. Land
24 B. Waterman
6 A. Bella-Kotchap
37 R. Ledezma
4 A. Obispo

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Orsato · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.