Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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LKS Lodz
Jagiellonia
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Legia
|
28 | 18 | 3 | 7 | +31 | 57 |
| 2 |
Piast Gliwice
|
29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | +8 | 50 |
| 3 |
Lech Poznan
|
29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +23 | 46 |
| 4 |
Slask Wroclaw
|
29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +5 | 46 |
| 5 |
Cracovia
|
29 | 14 | 3 | 12 | +10 | 45 |
| 6 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | -2 | 44 |
| 7 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | -2 | 42 |
| 8 |
Jagiellonia
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +1 | 41 |
| 9 |
Zaglebie
|
29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | +4 | 38 |
| 10 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 |
Rakow
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 |
Wisla Plock
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -13 | 37 |
| 13 |
Wisla
|
29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | -10 | 34 |
| 14 |
Korona Kielce
|
29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | -13 | 30 |
| 15 |
Arka Gdynia
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -15 | 28 |
| 16 |
LKS Lodz
|
28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -20 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Rakow
LKS Lodz
LKS Lodz
Gornik Zabrze
Korona Kielce
LKS Lodz
LKS Lodz
Zaglebie
Arka Gdynia
LKS Lodz
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.