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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Exner
Osnabruck
T T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Hamburg
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osnabruck Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
2,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
2,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

39% Possession 61%
18 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 15
5 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Osnabruck 18. · Hamburg 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 6 4 1 1 +9 13
2 Hamburg 6 4 1 1 +7 13
3 Holstein Kiel 6 4 0 2 -1 12
4 Hannover 6 3 2 1 +9 11
5 Magdeburg 6 3 2 1 +4 11
6 St Pauli 6 2 4 0 +5 10
7 Kaiserslautern 6 3 1 2 +0 10
8 Hansa Rostock 6 3 0 3 -1 9
9 Karlsruhe 6 2 2 2 +0 8
10 Wehen 6 2 2 2 +0 8
11 Nurnberg 6 2 2 2 -2 8
12 Schalke 04 6 2 1 3 -1 7
13 Elversberg 6 2 1 3 -5 7
14 Paderborn 6 2 1 3 -5 7
15 Hertha 6 2 0 4 +1 6
16 Greuther Furth 6 1 2 3 -3 5
17 Braunschweig 6 1 1 4 -6 4
18 Osnabruck 6 0 1 5 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Osnabruck Hamburg
4′
🟨 László Bénes
12′
R. Glatzel 0–1
L. Bénes
1–1 E. Engelhardt
16′
Robert Tesche 🟨
22′
2–1 O. Diakhité
39′
41′
🟨 Moritz Heyer
Maxwell Gyamfi 🟨
44′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 W. Mikelbrencis
↦ M. Heyer
46′
🔁 S. Ambrosius
↦ Guilherme Ramos
51′
🟨 William Mikelbrencis
Michaël Cuisance 🟨
57′
57′
🔁 R. Königsdörffer
↦ L. Reis
59′
🟨 Bakery Jatta
Christian Joe Conteh 🟨
60′
62′
🔁 L. Öztunalı
↦ J. Dompé
N. Niemann 🔁
↦ C. Conteh
68′
L. Kunze 🔁
↦ R. Tesche
68′
Dave Gnaase 🟨
75′
75′
🟨 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer
H. Rorig 🔁
↦ J. Wulff
76′
91′
🔁 A. Németh
↦ D. Hadžikadunić
J. Verhoek 🔁
↦ E. Engelhardt
92′
93′
🟨 Daniel Heuer Fernandes
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Osnabruck

4-3-1-2
1 L. Grill G
5 B. Ajdini D
4 M. Gyamfi D
14 O. Diakhité D
3 F. Kleinhansl D
27 M. Cuisance M
26 D. Gnaase M
8 R. Tesche M
32 J. Wulff M
17 C. Conteh F
9 E. Engelhardt F
Bench (9)
7 N. Niemann
13 L. Kunze
16 H. Rorig
23 J. Verhoek
22 P. Kühn
18 L. Kehl
15 P. Chato
28 F. Bähr
10 K. Okyere Wriedt

Coach: T. Schweinsteiger

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
22 I. Van der Brempt D
13 Guilherme Ramos D
5 D. Hadžikadunić D
3 M. Heyer D
14 L. Reis M
23 J. Meffert M
8 L. Bénes M
18 B. Jatta F
9 R. Glatzel F
27 J. Dompé F
Bench (8)
2 W. Mikelbrencis
35 S. Ambrosius
11 R. Königsdörffer
21 L. Öztunalı
20 A. Németh
46 E. Krahn
41 Omar Megeed
19 M. Raab

Coach: T. Walter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,47
U
4,53
B
1,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,38
U2,5
2,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Exner · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.