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Ekstraklasa

Referee: K Arys

Stal Mielec

U U T S T

2–0

Full-time

Radomiak Radom

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Radomiak Radom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

20%

60%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

40%

20%

Both score Ø 30%

40%

20%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,78 xG 1,36

36% Possession 64%

6 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

1 Corners 9

1 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stal Mielec 13. · Radomiak Radom 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	4	3	1	0	+7	+0.9	10
2	Zaglebie	5	3	1	1	+2	+0.2	10
3	Jagiellonia	4	3	0	1	+2	+0.6	9
4	Radomiak Radom	5	3	0	2	+2	+0.6	9
5	Cracovia	4	2	2	0	+2	-1.5	8
6	Rakow	4	2	1	1	+4	+3.2	7
7	Lech Poznan	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.6	7
8	Widzew Lodz	5	2	1	2	+0	-0.5	7
9	Piast Gliwice	5	1	3	1	+0	+5.7	6
10	Pogon Szczecin	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.5	6
11	LKS Lodz	5	2	0	3	-4	–	6
12	Warta Poznan	5	1	2	2	+0	+2.1	5
13	Stal Mielec	5	1	2	2	-1	-1.8	5
14	Gornik Zabrze	5	1	2	2	-3	-3.5	5
15	Slask Wroclaw	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.3	4
16	Ruch Chorzow	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.7	4
17	Puszcza	5	1	1	3	-4	-2.7	4
18	Korona Kielce	4	0	1	3	-3	-0.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Legia	3	3	0	0	+7	+0.9	9
2	Rakow	3	2	1	0	+5	+3.2	7
3	Zaglebie	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.2	7
4	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.3	6
5	Widzew Lodz	2	2	0	0	+2	+1.4	6
6	LKS Lodz	2	2	0	0	+2	–	6
7	Stal Mielec	3	1	2	0	+2	-0.6	5
8	Warta Poznan	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.9	4
9	Cracovia	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.5	4
10	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.1	4
11	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
12	Slask Wroclaw	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.5	3
13	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.3	3
14	Piast Gliwice	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.6	3
15	Radomiak Radom	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.2	3
16	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	-1	+2.4	3
17	Gornik Zabrze	3	0	2	1	-2	-2.5	2
18	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Radomiak Radom	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.7	6
2	Cracovia	2	1	1	0	+1	–	4
3	Lech Poznan	3	1	1	1	-1	-3.0	4
4	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.0	3
5	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.1	3
6	Piast Gliwice	3	0	3	0	+0	+2.1	3
7	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	3
8	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.7	3
9	Legia	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
10	Warta Poznan	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
11	Widzew Lodz	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.8	1
12	Slask Wroclaw	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.7	1
13	Ruch Chorzow	3	0	1	2	-4	-1.4	1
14	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
15	Korona Kielce	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.9	0
16	Stal Mielec	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.2	0
17	Puszcza	3	0	0	3	-5	-2.8	0
18	LKS Lodz	3	0	0	3	-6	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.