La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Las Palmas
Sociedad
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | +1.2 | 6 |
| 2 |
Vallecano
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | +1.6 | 6 |
| 3 |
Valencia
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +1.4 | 6 |
| 4 |
Girona
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | +0.9 | 4 |
| 5 |
Ath Madrid
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | +1.1 | 4 |
| 6 |
Barcelona
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | +3.2 | 4 |
| 7 |
Betis
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | +0.5 | 4 |
| 8 |
Alaves
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | +0.8 | 3 |
| 9 |
Ath Bilbao
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | -0.3 | 3 |
| 10 |
Osasuna
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | -0.3 | 3 |
| 11 |
Villarreal
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | +1.4 | 3 |
| 12 |
Cadiz
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -1.9 | 3 |
| 13 |
Sociedad
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | -0.6 | 2 |
| 14 |
Las Palmas
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.7 | 1 |
| 15 |
Mallorca
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -0.9 | 1 |
| 16 |
Celta
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | +0.4 | 1 |
| 17 |
Getafe
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | -1.6 | 1 |
| 18 |
Sevilla
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -1.6 | 0 |
| 19 |
Granada
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -2.4 | 0 |
| 20 |
Almeria
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | -1.3 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Álvaro Valles
G
Alex Suárez
D
Mika Mármol
D
Sergi Cardona
D
Enzo Loiodice
M
Kirian Rodríguez
M
Munir El Haddadi
F
Sandro Ramírez
F
Coach: García Pimienta
Álex Remiro
G
Hamari Traore
D
Igor Zubeldia
D
Robin Le Normand
D
Aihen Muñoz
D
Martín Zubimendi
M
Mikel Merino
M
Takefusa Kubo
M
Ander Barrenetxea
M
Carlos Fernández
F
Coach: Imanol Alguacil
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Valencia
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
Mallorca
Las Palmas
Alaves
Cartagena
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
Villarreal B
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez · 51 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.