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Belgisk cup

Excelsior Mariakerke

S T

0–8

Full-time

Drongen

S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Mariakerke Drongen

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

7,0

4,3

Scored

2,5

2,0

Conceded

4,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beringen	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Villers-La-Ville	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Berlare	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Groen Star Beek	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Kadijk Overpelt	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Wilrijk	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	JS Fizoise	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Libramont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Antonia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Wijnegem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Lauwe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Messancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Roy-Lignieres	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Eendracht Maasmechelen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Ster-Francorchamps	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Svelta Melsele	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	KSK Beveren	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Kattenbos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Herk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Saint-André Ochamps	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	RUS Assenois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Meeuwen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Union La Calamine II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Grün-Weiss Amel	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Lorraine Arlon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Meer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Herselt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Houthulst	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Sint-Niklaas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
30	Herkol	1	0	0	1	-3	0
31	Weerstand Koersel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Eendracht Zoersel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Etterbeek	1	0	0	1	-5	0
34	SSD Opoeteren	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villers-La-Ville	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Berlare	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Kadijk Overpelt	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Wilrijk	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	JS Fizoise	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Libramont	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Wijnegem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Lauwe	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Roy-Lignieres	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Svelta Melsele	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Kattenbos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Saint-André Ochamps	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Meeuwen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Union La Calamine II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Meer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Herkol	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	SSD Opoeteren	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beringen	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	Groen Star Beek	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Antonia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Messancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Eendracht Maasmechelen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Ster-Francorchamps	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	KSK Beveren	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Herk	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	RUS Assenois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Grün-Weiss Amel	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Lorraine Arlon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Herselt	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Houthulst	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Sint-Niklaas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Weerstand Koersel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Eendracht Zoersel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Etterbeek	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.