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Pro League
Referee: J Vergoote
Gent
U U U T T
3–1
Full-time
Westerlo
T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 47%
57%
37%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
53%
53%
Both score Ø 53%
43%
63%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
15 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 7
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 5. · Westerlo 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 30 23 4 3 +31 73
2 Genk 30 22 6 2 +47 72
3 Antwerp 30 22 4 4 +37 70
4 Club Brugge 30 17 7 6 +30 58
5 Gent 30 17 5 8 +33 56
6 Charleroi 35 16 6 13 +2 54
7 Anderlecht 35 15 7 13 +11 52
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 36 14 9 13 +12 51
9 Cercle Brugge 30 13 10 7 +10 49
10 St Truiden 36 13 9 14 -1 48
11 Standard 29 13 5 11 +4 44
12 Westerlo 30 11 10 9 +6 43
13 Mechelen 35 11 7 17 -18 40
14 Kortrijk 36 10 7 19 -22 37
15 Waregem 36 7 10 19 -26 31
16 Eupen 36 8 7 21 -36 31
17 Oostende 36 7 7 22 -40 28
18 Seraing 34 5 5 24 -40 20
19 Seraing United 34 5 5 24 -40 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Westerlo
Tarik Tissoudali 🟨
-5′
14′
🟨 Mathias Fixelles
27′
M. Fixelles 0–1
T. Dierckx
Half-time 1–1
1–1 Hong Hyun-Seok
H. Cuypers
52′
2–1 S. Kums
55′
65′
🔁 N. Madsen
↦ L. Van Eenoo
65′
🔁 Igor Vetokele
↦ K. Vaesen
65′
🔁 Y. Matsuo
↦ N. Chadli
73′
🔁 N. Dorgeles
↦ T. Dierckx
G. Orban 🔁
↦ T. Tissoudali
76′
3–1 G. Orban
H. Cuypers
88′
M. Fofana 🔁
↦ V. Odjidja-Ofoe
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Gent

3-5-2
1 P. Nardi G
4 K. Piątkowski D
2 J. Okumu D
23 J. Torunarigha D
18 M. Samoise M
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
13 J. De Sart M
24 S. Kums M
7 Hong Hyun-Seok M
11 H. Cuypers F
34 T. Tissoudali F
Bench (7)
20 G. Orban
19 M. Fofana
31 B. Godeau
35 C. Van Daele
38 B. Agbor
39 M. Fernandez
33 D. Roef

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Westerlo

4-2-3-1
1 S. Bolat G
22 B. Reynolds D
33 R. Neustädter D
24 R. Tagir D
11 M. De Cuyper D
4 M. Fixelles M
7 L. Van Eenoo M
55 T. Dierckx M
5 N. Chadli M
39 T. Van den Keybus M
14 K. Vaesen F
Bench (7)
8 N. Madsen
25 Igor Vetokele
79 Y. Matsuo
45 N. Dorgeles
20 N. Gillekens
32 E. Jordanov
2 P. Perdichizzi

Coach: J. De Roeck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,66
U
3,90
B
4,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,05
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.