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Allsvenskan

Referee: R Sundell

Mjallby

U T U T S

4–1

Full-time

Varberg

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mjallby Varberg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Allsvenskan · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 30%

33%

26%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

33%

52%

Both score Ø 47%

52%

41%

Average goals

2,1

2,6

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,1

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

15 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mjallby 9. · Varberg 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	28	17	9	2	+28	60
2	Djurgarden	27	15	6	6	+26	51
3	Hammarby	28	14	8	6	+29	50
4	Kalmar	27	14	5	8	+12	47
5	AIK	27	13	8	6	+10	47
6	Elfsborg	28	11	10	7	+16	43
7	Malmo FF	28	12	6	10	+7	42
8	Goteborg	27	12	3	12	+3	39
9	Mjallby	27	9	10	8	-3	37
10	Varnamo	27	9	8	10	-10	35
11	Norrkoping	27	8	8	11	-1	32
12	Sirius	27	8	7	12	-11	31
13	Degerfors	28	7	8	13	-17	29
14	Varberg	27	7	7	13	-21	28
15	Helsingborg	28	4	5	19	-25	17
16	Sundsvall	27	4	2	21	-43	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	13	10	1	2	+24	31
2	Hacken	14	9	3	2	+17	30
3	Hammarby	14	8	5	1	+22	29
4	Kalmar	14	9	2	3	+9	29
5	AIK	14	8	4	2	+11	28
6	Malmo FF	14	8	3	3	+12	27
7	Elfsborg	14	7	5	2	+11	26
8	Goteborg	13	6	3	4	+4	21
9	Varnamo	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Degerfors	14	5	5	4	-1	20
11	Norrkoping	14	5	4	5	+5	19
12	Sirius	13	6	1	6	+1	19
13	Mjallby	13	4	6	3	-1	18
14	Varberg	14	4	5	5	-7	17
15	Sundsvall	14	4	0	10	-17	12
16	Helsingborg	14	2	3	9	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hacken	14	8	6	0	+11	30
2	Hammarby	14	6	3	5	+7	21
3	Djurgarden	14	5	5	4	+2	20
4	AIK	13	5	4	4	-1	19
5	Mjallby	14	5	4	5	-2	19
6	Kalmar	13	5	3	5	+3	18
7	Goteborg	14	6	0	8	-1	18
8	Elfsborg	14	4	5	5	+5	17
9	Malmo FF	14	4	3	7	-5	15
10	Varnamo	14	4	3	7	-12	15
11	Norrkoping	13	3	4	6	-6	13
12	Sirius	14	2	6	6	-12	12
13	Varberg	13	3	2	8	-14	11
14	Degerfors	14	2	3	9	-16	9
15	Helsingborg	14	2	2	10	-14	8
16	Sundsvall	13	0	2	11	-26	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.