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Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan
U S T S S
4–1
Full-time
Wisla Plock
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Wisla Plock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 50%
64%
36%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 41%
36%
45%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
2,1
1,6
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lech Poznan 1. · Wisla Plock 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 11 7 3 1 +17 24
2 Lechia Gdansk 11 6 4 1 +11 22
3 Rakow 10 6 3 1 +7 21
4 Pogon Szczecin 11 5 4 2 +7 19
5 Slask Wroclaw 11 4 5 2 +1 17
6 Radomiak Radom 12 3 7 2 +3 16
7 Cracovia 11 4 4 3 +0 16
8 Jagiellonia 11 4 4 3 +0 16
9 Stal Mielec 11 4 3 4 -3 15
10 Zaglebie 10 5 0 5 -4 15
11 Piast Gliwice 11 4 2 5 -1 14
12 Wisla 11 4 2 5 -2 14
13 Wisla Plock 11 4 1 6 +1 13
14 Gornik Zabrze 10 4 1 5 -2 13
15 Legia 9 3 0 6 -3 9
16 Nieciecza 10 1 4 5 -5 7
17 Warta Poznan 11 1 4 6 -7 7
18 Leczna 12 1 3 8 -20 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.