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Serie B

Alessandria

T T U S T

1–0

Full-time

Crotone

U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alessandria Crotone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 13%

13%

Points per game

0,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 69%

63%

75%

Average goals

3,4

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

2,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

19 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 3

13 Corners 7

16 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Alessandria 18. · Crotone 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	8	6	1	1	+10	19
2	Cremonese	8	5	1	2	+5	16
3	Lecce	8	4	3	1	+5	15
4	Brescia	8	4	2	2	+6	14
5	Ascoli	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Benevento	8	3	4	1	+5	13
7	Perugia	8	3	4	1	+4	13
8	Reggina	8	3	4	1	+1	13
9	Cittadella	8	4	1	3	-1	13
10	Frosinone	8	2	5	1	+3	11
11	Cosenza	8	3	2	3	-2	11
12	Parma	8	2	4	2	+2	10
13	Monza	8	2	4	2	-1	10
14	Ternana	8	3	1	4	-3	10
15	Spal	8	2	3	3	+3	9
16	Como	8	2	3	3	-1	9
17	Crotone	8	1	4	3	-5	7
18	Alessandria	8	1	1	6	-9	4
19	Vicenza	8	1	0	7	-7	3
20	Pordenone	8	0	1	7	-17	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Cremonese	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Cosenza	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Cittadella	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Spal	4	2	2	0	+6	8
6	Benevento	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Reggina	4	2	2	0	+2	8
8	Lecce	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Monza	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	Crotone	5	1	3	1	-2	6
11	Ternana	4	2	0	2	-2	6
12	Perugia	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Parma	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Brescia	3	1	1	1	+2	4
15	Como	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Ascoli	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Frosinone	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Alessandria	3	1	0	2	-3	3
19	Pordenone	5	0	1	4	-9	1
20	Vicenza	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	5	3	1	1	+4	10
2	Ascoli	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Frosinone	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Perugia	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Lecce	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Pisa	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Cremonese	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Parma	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Benevento	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Como	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Reggina	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	Ternana	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Vicenza	4	1	0	3	-1	3
14	Monza	5	0	3	2	-4	3
15	Cittadella	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Spal	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Alessandria	5	0	1	4	-6	1
19	Cosenza	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Pordenone	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.