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Allsvenskan

Referee: Adam Ladeback

GAIS

U S T S U

1–0

Full-time

Elfsborg

U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GAIS Elfsborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

50%

42%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,83 xG 2,21

41% Possession 59%

14 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 4

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match GAIS 9. · Elfsborg 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	11	9	2	0	+17	+7.7	29
2	Hammarby	13	7	2	4	+14	+8.9	23
3	Hacken	12	5	5	2	+3	+3.8	20
4	Malmo FF	12	6	1	5	+5	+3.6	19
5	Elfsborg	12	4	6	2	+4	+0.1	18
6	Vasteras SK	12	5	3	4	-1	-1.8	18
7	AIK	12	5	3	4	-2	-8.1	18
8	Djurgarden	10	5	1	4	+8	+3.3	16
9	GAIS	12	4	4	4	+5	+3.2	16
10	Mjallby	12	4	4	4	+2	+1.6	16
11	Brommapojkarna	11	4	4	3	-1	-2.3	16
12	Kalmar	12	4	1	7	-3	+2.3	13
13	Degerfors	12	2	4	6	-7	-6.1	10
14	Goteborg	12	2	4	6	-14	-1.6	10
15	Orgryte	12	2	3	7	-17	-6.4	9
16	Halmstad	11	1	3	7	-13	-8.2	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	7	5	1	1	+17	+7.4	16
2	Sirius	6	5	1	0	+9	+5.9	16
3	Kalmar	6	4	1	1	+6	+1.1	13
4	Elfsborg	7	3	3	1	+4	-0.3	12
5	GAIS	6	3	2	1	+8	+0.5	11
6	Hacken	6	3	2	1	+1	+2.3	11
7	Malmo FF	6	3	0	3	+6	+4.3	9
8	Djurgarden	6	2	1	3	+4	+1.2	7
9	Mjallby	5	2	0	3	+1	+2.4	6
10	Vasteras SK	6	1	3	2	+0	-0.2	6
11	Orgryte	6	1	3	2	-1	-0.9	6
12	AIK	5	2	0	3	-4	-2.1	6
13	Brommapojkarna	4	1	2	1	+0	-4.0	5
14	Halmstad	6	1	2	3	-5	-5.5	5
15	Degerfors	7	1	2	4	-7	-6.3	5
16	Goteborg	5	0	2	3	-4	+0.9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	5	4	1	0	+8	+1.8	13
2	AIK	7	3	3	1	+2	-6.0	12
3	Vasteras SK	6	4	0	2	-1	-1.6	12
4	Brommapojkarna	7	3	2	2	-1	+1.7	11
5	Mjallby	7	2	4	1	+1	-0.8	10
6	Malmo FF	6	3	1	2	-1	-0.7	10
7	Djurgarden	4	3	0	1	+4	+2.1	9
8	Hacken	6	2	3	1	+2	+1.5	9
9	Goteborg	7	2	2	3	-10	-2.5	8
10	Hammarby	6	2	1	3	-3	+1.5	7
11	Elfsborg	5	1	3	1	+0	+0.4	6
12	Degerfors	5	1	2	2	+0	+0.2	5
13	GAIS	6	1	2	3	-3	+2.7	5
14	Orgryte	6	1	0	5	-16	-5.5	3
15	Halmstad	5	0	1	4	-8	-2.7	1
16	Kalmar	6	0	0	6	-9	+1.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.