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Allsvenskan

Referee: Erik Mattsson

Sirius

S S S U S

2–0

Full-time

Orgryte

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sirius Orgryte

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,7

Scored

2,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

2,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,0

3,7

Scored

2,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

2,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,26 xG 0,42

59% Possession 41%

23 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 1

11 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sirius 1. · Orgryte 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	6	5	1	0	+10	+5.9	16
2	Hammarby	7	4	2	1	+12	+5.0	14
3	Elfsborg	7	4	2	1	+5	+1.8	14
4	Djurgarden	7	4	1	2	+8	+3.3	13
5	Hacken	7	3	4	0	+4	+2.6	13
6	Mjallby	7	4	1	2	+4	-1.2	13
7	Malmo FF	7	3	1	3	+1	+0.3	10
8	GAIS	7	2	2	3	+1	+0.6	8
9	AIK	7	2	2	3	-2	-2.5	8
10	Brommapojkarna	7	2	2	3	-3	+1.1	8
11	Degerfors	7	2	2	3	-3	-2.3	8
12	Vasteras SK	7	2	2	3	-5	-6.3	8
13	Kalmar	7	2	1	4	-1	+0.3	7
14	Orgryte	6	1	2	3	-10	-2.5	5
15	Goteborg	7	0	3	4	-11	-2.7	3
16	Halmstad	7	0	2	5	-10	-3.4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	4	3	1	0	+13	+4.4	10
2	Elfsborg	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.4	10
3	Sirius	3	3	0	0	+6	+4.1	9
4	Hacken	4	2	2	0	+2	+2.3	8
5	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+6	+1.2	7
6	Kalmar	4	2	1	1	+2	+1.1	7
7	Mjallby	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.4	6
8	AIK	4	2	0	2	-1	-2.1	6
9	GAIS	3	1	1	1	+3	–	4
10	Degerfors	5	1	1	3	-6	-2.4	4
11	Malmo FF	3	1	0	2	+0	+1.3	3
12	Vasteras SK	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.4	2
13	Orgryte	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.2	2
14	Brommapojkarna	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
15	Goteborg	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.0	1
16	Halmstad	3	0	1	2	-5	-2.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.8	7
2	Mjallby	4	2	1	1	+1	-0.8	7
3	Malmo FF	4	2	1	1	+1	-1.0	7
4	Brommapojkarna	5	2	1	2	-2	+0.7	7
5	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.1	6
6	Vasteras SK	4	2	0	2	-4	-4.9	6
7	Hacken	3	1	2	0	+2	+0.3	5
8	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.2	4
9	Elfsborg	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.4	4
10	Hammarby	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.5	4
11	GAIS	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.6	4
12	Orgryte	3	1	0	2	-9	-3.6	3
13	AIK	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.4	2
14	Goteborg	4	0	2	2	-8	-2.7	2
15	Halmstad	4	0	1	3	-5	-1.1	1
16	Kalmar	3	0	0	3	-3	-0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.