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Allsvenskan

Referee: Victor Wolf

Varnamo

S S T T T

1–2

Full-time

Halmstad

T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Halmstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,5

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

2,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 18%

26%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

57%

48%

Both score Ø 52%

65%

39%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,1

0,8

Conceded

2,0

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,9

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,91 xG 2,07

57% Possession 43%

22 Shots 23

4 Shots on target 9

9 Blocked shots 10

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 16. · Halmstad 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	24	17	6	1	+27	+2.2	57
2	Hammarby	24	15	4	5	+25	+16.8	49
3	AIK	23	12	7	4	+10	+7.3	43
4	GAIS	24	11	8	5	+12	+11.0	41
5	Goteborg	24	13	2	9	+4	+0.8	41
6	Malmo FF	24	10	9	5	+15	+13.3	39
7	Djurgarden	24	10	8	6	+9	+6.1	38
8	Elfsborg	24	11	4	9	+3	-0.5	37
9	Brommapojkarna	24	9	2	13	+0	-2.2	29
10	Sirius	24	7	5	12	-3	-1.2	26
11	Norrkoping	23	7	5	11	-10	-9.5	26
12	Hacken	24	7	5	12	-11	+3.3	26
13	Oster	24	5	7	12	-13	-11.6	22
14	Halmstad	23	6	4	13	-25	-12.9	22
15	Degerfors	24	5	4	15	-22	-6.0	19
16	Varnamo	23	2	6	15	-21	-16.9	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	13	10	1	2	+20	+14.2	31
2	Mjallby	12	8	4	0	+13	+4.6	28
3	AIK	11	7	4	0	+12	+5.5	25
4	Elfsborg	12	6	3	3	+6	+0.4	21
5	GAIS	12	6	3	3	+6	+7.5	21
6	Malmo FF	12	5	4	3	+7	+9.3	19
7	Goteborg	12	6	1	5	+4	+3.3	19
8	Djurgarden	12	4	6	2	+4	+5.5	18
9	Sirius	12	4	2	6	+0	+2.0	14
10	Halmstad	12	4	2	6	-11	-5.6	14
11	Norrkoping	12	4	1	7	-7	-1.3	13
12	Brommapojkarna	11	4	0	7	-2	+0.4	12
13	Hacken	12	3	2	7	-8	+5.7	11
14	Varnamo	12	2	4	6	-8	-7.6	10
15	Oster	11	2	3	6	-6	-3.0	9
16	Degerfors	12	1	3	8	-14	-1.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	12	9	2	1	+14	-2.4	29
2	Goteborg	12	7	1	4	+0	-2.6	22
3	Malmo FF	12	5	5	2	+8	+3.9	20
4	GAIS	12	5	5	2	+6	+3.5	20
5	Djurgarden	12	6	2	4	+5	+0.6	20
6	Hammarby	11	5	3	3	+5	+2.6	18
7	AIK	12	5	3	4	-2	+1.9	18
8	Brommapojkarna	13	5	2	6	+2	-2.6	17
9	Elfsborg	12	5	1	6	-3	-0.9	16
10	Hacken	12	4	3	5	-3	-2.4	15
11	Norrkoping	11	3	4	4	-3	-8.3	13
12	Oster	13	3	4	6	-7	-8.6	13
13	Degerfors	12	4	1	7	-8	-4.9	13
14	Sirius	12	3	3	6	-3	-3.1	12
15	Halmstad	11	2	2	7	-14	-7.3	8
16	Varnamo	11	0	2	9	-13	-9.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.