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Allsvenskan
Referee: Richard Sundell
0–1
Full-time
Djurgarden
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brommapojkarna Djurgarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
40%
30%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brommapojkarna 12. · Djurgarden 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 12 8 3 1 +14 +0.8 27
2 AIK 12 7 5 0 +8 +1.0 26
3 Elfsborg 11 8 1 2 +12 +6.5 25
4 Hammarby 12 7 3 2 +12 +7.7 24
5 Malmo FF 12 5 4 3 +6 +8.7 19
6 Goteborg 11 5 1 5 -2 -0.0 16
7 GAIS 11 3 6 2 +2 +3.4 15
8 Hacken 11 4 3 4 -1 +1.5 15
9 Norrkoping 11 4 2 5 +0 -4.1 14
10 Degerfors 11 4 1 6 -4 -1.0 13
11 Djurgarden 10 3 3 4 -6 -1.0 12
12 Brommapojkarna 10 3 1 6 -3 +0.4 10
13 Halmstad 11 3 1 7 -15 -8.4 10
14 Sirius 11 2 3 6 -5 -6.1 9
15 Oster 11 2 2 7 -7 -5.0 8
16 Varnamo 11 0 3 8 -11 -4.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brommapojkarna Djurgarden
Frederik Christensen 🟨
15′
19′
T. Gulliksen 0–1
T. Nguen
Half-time 0–1
63′
🔁 V. Bergh
↦ S. Haarala
W. Odefalk 🔁
↦ V. Lind
69′
A. Kurochkin 🔁
↦ E. Alladoh
69′
72′
🟨 Jacob Une Larsson
73′
🔁 M. Danielson
↦ M. Tenho
73′
🔁 A. Stahl
↦ T. Nguen
N. Bahoui 🔁
↦ D. Irandust
75′
Hlynur Freyr Karlsson 🟨
79′
79′
🟨 August Priske
80′
🔁 A. Ekdal
↦ T. Gulliksen
80′
🔁 Z. Sawo
↦ A. Priske
82′
🟨 Isak Alemayehu
K. Sever 🔁
↦ H. Karlsson
83′
Serge-Junior Martinsson Ngouali 🟨
88′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Brommapojkarna

4-2-3-1
25 D. Blazevic G
21 A. Timossi D
2 H. Karlsson D
3 E. Hovland D
77 F. Christensen D
5 S. Ngouali M
24 K. Ackermann M
19 D. Irandust M
16 A. Jakobsen M
7 V. Lind M
23 E. Alladoh F
Bench (9)
40 L. Cavallius
4 E. Bjorkander
10 W. Odefalk
14 K. Sever
17 A. Kurochkin
27 K. Barslund
32 O. Cotton
33 S. Oppong
39 N. Bahoui

Coach: Ulf Kristiansson

Djurgarden

4-2-3-1
45 F. Manojlovic G
12 T. Bergvall D
5 M. Tenho D
4 J. Une-Larsson D
27 K. Kosugi D
32 I. Alemayehu Mulugeta M
20 M. Siltanen M
29 S. Haarala M
7 T. Gulliksen M
9 A. Priske M
10 T. Nguen F
Bench (9)
35 J. Rinne
3 M. Danielson
8 A. Ekdal
11 Z. Sawo
18 A. Stahl
19 V. Bergh
25 K. Jawla
34 A. Andersson
36 A. Atlee

Coach: Jani Honkavaara

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Richard Sundell · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.