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Allsvenskan

Referee: R Sundell

Varnamo

S U S T S

1–2

Full-time

Mjallby

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo Mjallby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 43%

36%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

55%

67%

Both score Ø 56%

45%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,25 xG 2,33

57% Possession 43%

18 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 9

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 12. · Mjallby 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	13	10	2	1	+25	+12.8	32
2	Djurgarden	12	8	1	3	+13	+0.3	25
3	Hammarby	12	7	0	5	+6	+1.7	21
4	GAIS	12	7	0	5	-1	-2.5	21
5	Mjallby	12	6	2	4	+6	+1.0	20
6	Halmstad	12	6	0	6	-2	-1.9	18
7	AIK	11	5	2	4	-1	-0.1	17
8	Hacken	12	5	2	5	-1	-2.2	17
9	Elfsborg	13	5	1	7	+1	+2.6	16
10	Sirius	12	4	3	5	-1	+3.5	15
11	Brommapojkarna	12	3	6	3	-2	+2.1	15
12	Varnamo	11	4	2	5	-3	-4.8	14
13	Goteborg	12	4	2	6	-6	-4.1	14
14	Norrkoping	12	3	2	7	-17	-5.6	11
15	Kalmar	12	3	1	8	-11	-5.7	10
16	Vasteras SK	12	2	2	8	-6	+3.0	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	6	6	0	0	+15	+5.5	18
2	AIK	6	5	0	1	+10	+2.1	15
3	Hammarby	6	5	0	1	+9	+1.2	15
4	GAIS	6	5	0	1	+4	+1.0	15
5	Mjallby	7	4	2	1	+6	+0.7	14
6	Elfsborg	6	4	1	1	+10	+2.4	13
7	Djurgarden	7	4	1	2	+3	-2.6	13
8	Halmstad	6	4	0	2	+5	+2.0	12
9	Hacken	6	3	1	2	+2	-1.4	10
10	Sirius	6	2	2	2	+3	+3.5	8
11	Goteborg	6	2	1	3	-5	-3.6	7
12	Norrkoping	5	2	0	3	-6	-3.2	6
13	Brommapojkarna	6	1	3	2	-7	-0.4	6
14	Kalmar	6	1	1	4	-4	-2.0	4
15	Vasteras SK	6	1	1	4	-5	+1.9	4
16	Varnamo	5	0	1	4	-9	-2.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	7	4	2	1	+10	+7.3	14
2	Varnamo	6	4	1	1	+6	-2.4	13
3	Djurgarden	5	4	0	1	+10	+2.8	12
4	Brommapojkarna	6	2	3	1	+5	+2.4	9
5	Goteborg	6	2	1	3	-1	-0.5	7
6	Hacken	6	2	1	3	-3	-0.7	7
7	Sirius	6	2	1	3	-4	-0.0	7
8	Mjallby	5	2	0	3	+0	+0.3	6
9	Hammarby	6	2	0	4	-3	+0.5	6
10	GAIS	6	2	0	4	-5	-3.5	6
11	Kalmar	6	2	0	4	-7	-3.7	6
12	Halmstad	6	2	0	4	-7	-3.9	6
13	Norrkoping	7	1	2	4	-11	-2.4	5
14	Vasteras SK	6	1	1	4	-1	+1.1	4
15	Elfsborg	7	1	0	6	-9	+0.2	3
16	AIK	5	0	2	3	-11	-2.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.