Primeira Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Guimaraes
Sp Lisbon
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Benfica
|
29 | 24 | 2 | 3 | +52 | 74 |
| 2 |
Porto
|
29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | +43 | 70 |
| 3 |
Sp Braga
|
29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | +38 | 68 |
| 4 |
Sp Lisbon
|
28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | +30 | 58 |
| 5 |
Arouca
|
29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | +0 | 48 |
| 6 |
Famalicao
|
29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | -4 | 42 |
| 7 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 41 |
| 8 |
Vizela
|
29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | +2 | 39 |
| 9 |
Casa Pia
|
29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 39 |
| 10 |
Chaves
|
29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 37 |
| 11 |
Boavista
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -12 | 37 |
| 12 |
Rio Ave
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 |
Portimonense
|
29 | 10 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 33 |
| 14 |
Gil Vicente
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 |
Estoril
|
29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | -22 | 25 |
| 16 |
Maritimo
|
29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | -28 | 22 |
| 17 |
Pacos Ferreira
|
29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | -30 | 17 |
| 18 |
Santa Clara
|
29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -26 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Celton Biai
G
Miguel Maga
M
M. Johnston
F
Coach: Moreno
O. Diomande
D
Ricardo Esgaio
M
H. Morita
M
M. Edwards
F
Youssef Chermiti
F
Pote
F
Coach: Rúben Amorim
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Famalicao
Guimaraes
Boavista
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Pacos Ferreira
Benfica
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Arouca
Luis Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.