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Primeira Liga
Referee: Luis Godinho
Guimaraes
T T U T T
0–2
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Primeira Liga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 54%
43%
64%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
46%
68%
Both score Ø 41%
39%
43%
Average goals
2,1
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%
7 Shots 13
0 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guimaraes 7. · Sp Lisbon 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 29 24 2 3 +52 74
2 Porto 29 22 4 3 +43 70
3 Sp Braga 29 22 2 5 +38 68
4 Sp Lisbon 28 18 4 6 +30 58
5 Arouca 29 13 9 7 +0 48
6 Famalicao 29 13 3 13 -4 42
7 Guimaraes 28 12 5 11 -6 41
8 Vizela 29 11 6 12 +2 39
9 Casa Pia 29 11 6 12 -6 39
10 Chaves 29 9 10 10 -5 37
11 Boavista 29 10 7 12 -12 37
12 Rio Ave 29 9 8 12 -5 35
13 Portimonense 29 10 3 16 -13 33
14 Gil Vicente 29 8 7 14 -8 31
15 Estoril 29 7 4 18 -22 25
16 Maritimo 29 6 4 19 -28 22
17 Pacos Ferreira 29 4 5 20 -30 17
18 Santa Clara 29 3 7 19 -26 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guimaraes Sp Lisbon
Miguel Maga 🟨
4′
Half-time 0–0
Dani Silva 🔁
↦ André André
46′
André Silva ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
47′
47′
Pote 0–1
H. Morita
Nélson Luz 🔁
↦ Rúben Lameiras
65′
Tomás Händel 🔁
↦ N. Janvier
65′
Zé Carlos 🔁
↦ Afonso de Freitas
71′
72′
🔁 Trincão
↦ Youssef Chermiti
Anderson Silva 🔁
↦ André Silva
76′
79′
🔁 Arthur Gomes
↦ Pote
79′
🔁 Gonçalo Inácio
↦ Matheus Reis
89′
ℹ️ Sebastián Coates
VAR: Goal cancelled
92′
🔁 Rochinha
↦ M. Edwards
93′
Arthur Gomes 0–2
Adán
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Guimaraes

3-4-3
63 Celton Biai G
83 M. Tounkara D
22 I. Bamba D
3 M. Villanueva D
2 Miguel Maga M
21 André André M
98 N. Janvier M
72 Afonso de Freitas M
7 Rúben Lameiras F
17 André Silva F
90 M. Johnston F
Bench (9)
80 Dani Silva
20 Nélson Luz
8 Tomás Händel
28 Zé Carlos
33 Anderson Silva
24 Manu
9 Alisson Safira
53 Rafa
11 Jota Silva

Coach: Moreno

Sp Lisbon

3-4-3
1 Adán G
26 O. Diomande D
4 S. Coates D
2 Matheus Reis D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
15 M. Ugarte M
5 H. Morita M
11 Nuno Santos M
10 M. Edwards F
79 Youssef Chermiti F
28 Pote F
Bench (9)
17 Trincão
33 Arthur Gomes
25 Gonçalo Inácio
16 Rochinha
19 Héctor Bellerín
84 Dário Essugo
13 Luís Neto
12 F. Israel
18 I. Fatawu

Coach: Rúben Amorim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,32
U
4,25
B ✓
1,57
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,63
U2,5 ✓
2,24
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Luis Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.