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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: A Medic
Valerenga
T S S U S
0–2
Full-time
Kongsvinger
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Kongsvinger
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 47%
43%
50%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
43%
83%
Both score Ø 69%
71%
67%
Average goals
3,1
3,7
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Valerenga 5. · Kongsvinger 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Egersund 6 4 2 0 +6 14
2 Stabaek 6 3 3 0 +8 12
3 Sogndal 7 3 3 1 +6 12
4 Bryne 7 4 0 3 +2 12
5 Valerenga 7 3 2 2 +0 11
6 Kongsvinger 6 3 2 1 +0 11
7 Levanger 7 2 3 2 +3 9
8 Lyn 6 2 3 1 +2 9
9 Mjondalen 7 2 3 2 +0 9
10 Raufoss 7 2 2 3 +0 8
11 Moss 7 2 2 3 -3 8
12 Asane 7 1 4 2 -1 7
13 Ranheim 7 1 3 3 -2 6
14 Sandnes ULF 7 1 3 3 -5 6
15 Aalesund 7 1 2 4 -8 5
16 Start 7 0 3 4 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Kongsvinger
32′
H. Holter 0–1
Half-time 0–1
F. Ambina 🟨
52′
M. Rijks 🔁
↦ J. El Abdellaoui
63′
F. Thorvaldsen 🔁
↦ O. Kamara
63′
75′
🟨 V. Moberg
75′
J. Grundt 0–2
78′
🔁 A. Güven
↦ L. Haren
81′
🟨 L. Langrekken
V. Hedenstad 🔁
↦ P. Strand
85′
A. Rønning 🔁
↦ S. Juklerød
85′
87′
🔁 E. Nielsen
↦ J. Nilsson
94′
🔁 A. Sandstad
↦ N. Williams
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Valerenga

21 M. Sjøeng
23 M. Kreuzriegler
18 S. Juklerød
2 C. Borchgrevink
4 A. Kiil Olsen
8 H. Bjørdal
24 P. Strand
7 M. Riisnæs
29 F. Ambina
19 O. Kamara
25 J. El Abdellaoui
Bench (7)
9 M. Rijks
26 F. Thorvaldsen
6 V. Hedenstad
27 A. Rønning
1 J. Storevik
3 A. Hammer Kjelsen
5 N. Idumba

Coach: G. Bakke

Kongsvinger

1 A. Strömberg
2 J. Nilsson
3 R. Þorkelsson
5 F. Holmé
8 V. Moberg
6 H. Holter
14 L. Haren
20 J. Grundt
7 E. Taylor
22 L. Langrekken
11 N. Williams
Bench (9)
9 A. Güven
19 E. Nielsen
48 A. Sandstad
12 M. Mbow
16 M. Trengereid
17 M. Gjerstrøm
18 J. Holtan
21 D. Lysgård
31 M. Sayouba

Coach: J. Wennberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Medic · 77 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.