Serie B
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Frosinone
Catanzaro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Frosinone
|
18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +18 | +5.5 | 38 |
| 2 |
Monza
|
18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | +13 | +6.7 | 37 |
| 3 |
Venezia
|
18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +17 | +13.4 | 35 |
| 4 |
Palermo
|
18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | +15 | +2.2 | 33 |
| 5 |
Catanzaro
|
18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | +7 | +0.6 | 31 |
| 6 |
Cesena
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | +5 | +3.4 | 31 |
| 7 |
Modena
|
18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | +11 | +3.7 | 29 |
| 8 |
Juve Stabia
|
18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | -1 | -2.2 | 26 |
| 9 |
Empoli
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | +1 | +0.9 | 24 |
| 10 |
Padova
|
18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -3 | -1.9 | 22 |
| 11 |
Avellino
|
18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | -9 | -6.4 | 22 |
| 12 |
Reggiana
|
18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | -3 | -2.2 | 20 |
| 13 |
Carrarese
|
18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -5 | -7.8 | 20 |
| 14 |
Sampdoria
|
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -7 | +0.1 | 17 |
| 15 |
Spezia
|
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -8 | +0.2 | 17 |
| 16 |
Bari
|
18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -12 | -3.2 | 17 |
| 17 |
Sudtirol
|
18 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -5 | -2.9 | 16 |
| 18 |
Virtus Entella
|
18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -10 | -5.3 | 16 |
| 19 |
Mantova
|
18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -12 | -2.2 | 15 |
| 20 |
Pescara
|
18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -12 | -2.5 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Empoli
Frosinone
Frosinone
Spezia
Pescara
Frosinone
Frosinone
Juve Stabia
Reggiana
Frosinone
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.