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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sanchez Lopez
Ceuta
S T T T T
2–1
Full-time
Huesca
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ceuta Huesca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,5
Conceded
2,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
2,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 0
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ceuta 22. · Huesca 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Sp Gijon 4 3 0 1 +2 9
3 Valladolid 4 2 2 0 +4 +2.3 8
4 La Coruna 4 2 2 0 +3 8
5 Malaga 4 2 2 0 +2 8
6 Andorra 3 2 1 0 +3 7
7 Cadiz 3 2 1 0 +2 7
8 Huesca 3 2 1 0 +2 7
9 Mirandes 4 2 0 2 +2 6
10 Almeria 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 Burgos 3 1 1 1 +3 +3.1 4
12 Eibar 3 1 1 1 +2 4
13 Las Palmas 3 1 1 1 +1 4
14 Sociedad B 3 1 1 1 +0 4
15 Cordoba 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 Leganes 3 0 3 0 +0 3
17 Zaragoza 4 0 2 2 -3 2
18 Castellon 4 0 1 3 -4 1
19 Albacete 4 0 1 3 -5 1
20 Granada 4 0 1 3 -6 1
21 Cultural Leonesa 3 0 0 3 -6 -3.1 0
22 Ceuta 3 0 0 3 -7 -2.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ceuta Huesca
1–0 K. Kone
A. Ahmed
11′
13′
🟨 Hugo Perez
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Jorge Pulido
46′
🔁 S. Arribas
↦ H. Perez
46′
🔁 L. Beltran
↦ J. Pulido
50′
ℹ️ Sergi Enrich
VAR: Card upgrade
51′
🟥 Sergi Enrich
56′
🔁 M. Rico
↦ O. Sielva
56′
🔁 E. Rodriguez
↦ D. Luna
Aisar Ahmed ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
68′
A. Bassinga 🔁
↦ K. Kone
80′
S. Obeng 🔁
↦ K. Zalazar
80′
C. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ Jamelli
80′
80′
🔁 F. Portillo
↦ J. Alvarez
85′
E. Rodriguez 1–1
S. Arribas
2–1 S. Obeng
C. Rodriguez
88′
M. Vallejo 🔁
↦ A. Ahmed
90′
D. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ Y. Cantero
92′
Jose Matos 🟨
97′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ceuta

4-3-3
13 G. Vallejo G
17 G. Almenara D
6 C. Hernandez D
24 Y. Cantero D
3 Matos Jose D
19 Jamelli M
5 Youness M
8 K. Zalazar M
7 A. Ahmed
9 M. Fernandez Sanchez F
22 K. Kone F
Bench (11)
1 P. Lopez
15 D. Gonzalez
4 A. Caparros
26 A. Bassinga
30 Josema
20 A. Escudero
21 M. Vallejo
23 K. de la Fuente
12 S. Obeng
16 C. Redruello Nimo
10 C. Rodriguez

Coach: Antonio José Poveda Sánchez

Huesca

3-4-3
13 D. Jimenez G
14 J. Pulido D
5 Pina D
15 H. Perez D
2 Toni Abad M
16 J. Alvarez M
23 O. Sielva M
17 J. Alonso M
33 D. Luna F
9 S. Enrich F
10 I. Kortajarena F
Bench (12)
1 Perez Juan
30 D. Martin
4 A. Carrillo
28 S. Arribas
7 M. Rico
3 R. Abajas
20 F. Portillo
31 D. Aznar
18 E. Rodriguez
19 S. Ntamack
11 L. Beltran
22 A. Perez

Coach: Sergi Guilló Barceló

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,69
U
2,97
B
2,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,44
U2,5
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rafael Sanchez Lopez · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.