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Belgisk cup
Merelbeke
T S T S S
0–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Merelbeke K. Lierse S.K.
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Heist 4 4 0 0 +13 12
2 Jong Lede 4 3 1 0 +13 10
3 DT Borsbeke 5 3 1 1 +2 10
4 Voorde Appelterre 4 3 0 1 +8 9
5 Eendracht Termien 3 3 0 0 +7 9
6 Braine 3 3 0 0 +6 9
7 Ninove 3 3 0 0 +6 9
8 Londerzeel 4 3 0 1 +4 9
9 Oudenaarde 4 3 0 1 +4 9
10 Meix-Devant-Virton 4 3 0 1 +1 9
11 FC Du Geer 4 2 2 0 +2 8
12 Arquet 5 2 2 1 +0 8
13 Spouwen-Mopertingen 3 2 1 0 +7 7
14 Wezel 3 2 1 0 +6 7
15 Tubize 3 2 1 0 +5 7
16 City Pirates Antwerpen 3 2 1 0 +5 7
17 Schoonbeek-Beverst 4 2 1 1 +4 7
18 Gullegem 3 2 1 0 +4 7
19 Cappellen 3 2 1 0 +3 7
20 RFC Wetteren 4 2 1 1 +2 7
21 Tempo Overijse 4 2 1 1 +0 7
22 Nijlen 3 2 0 1 +4 6
23 Merelbeke 2 2 0 0 +4 6
24 Wilrijk 3 2 0 1 +3 6
25 Dessel Sport 3 2 0 1 +3 6
26 Turkse Rangers 3 2 0 1 +3 6
27 Westhoek 3 2 0 1 +3 6
28 RUS Binche 3 2 0 1 +3 6
29 Acren-Lessines 3 2 0 1 +3 6
30 Knokke 2 2 0 0 +3 6
31 Evelette-Jallet 3 2 0 1 +2 6
32 Rumbeke 3 2 0 1 +2 6
33 Diksmuide 3 2 0 1 +2 6
34 Erpe-Mere United 3 2 0 1 +2 6
35 Houtvenne 3 2 0 1 +2 6
36 Jodoigne 3 2 0 1 +1 6
37 Rotselaar 3 2 0 1 +1 6
38 Hoogstraten 3 2 0 1 +1 6
39 Lille 3 2 0 1 +1 6
40 Zwevegem Sport 3 2 0 1 +0 6
41 Marke 3 2 0 1 -1 6
42 Sporting Hasselt 2 1 1 0 +6 4
43 Elsautoise 2 1 1 0 +5 4
44 Excelsior Virton 3 1 1 1 +3 4
45 Lyra-Lierse Berlaar 2 1 1 0 +3 4
46 Latem 3 1 1 1 +2 4
47 Sprimont 3 1 1 1 +2 4
48 Kosova Schaerbeek 2 1 1 0 +2 4
49 Achel 2 1 1 0 +1 4
50 FC Lebbeke 2 1 0 1 +6 3
51 Zepperen-Brustem 2 1 0 1 +6 3
52 De Kempen 2 1 0 1 +4 3
53 Blankenberge 2 1 0 1 +4 3
54 Léopold 2 1 0 1 +3 3
55 Kortrijk 1 1 0 0 +3 3
56 Wallonne Ciney 2 1 0 1 +2 3
57 Wellen 2 1 0 1 +2 3
58 Crossing Schaerbeek 2 1 0 1 +2 3
59 SG-Tertre-Hautrage 2 1 0 1 +2 3
60 Turnhout 2 1 0 1 +2 3
61 Berg en Dal 2 1 0 1 +2 3
62 Albert Quévy-Mons 2 1 0 1 +2 3
63 RWD Molenbeek 1 1 0 0 +2 3
64 Beveren 1 1 0 0 +2 3
65 Seraing United 1 1 0 0 +2 3
66 Biesme 2 1 0 1 +1 3
67 Richelle United 2 1 0 1 +1 3
68 Sint-Lenaarts 2 1 0 1 +1 3
69 La Calamine 2 1 0 1 +1 3
70 Etterbeek 2 1 0 1 +1 3
71 Drongen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
72 Wanze / Bas-Oha 2 1 0 1 +1 3
73 Lauwe 2 1 0 1 +1 3
74 Patro Eisden 1 1 0 0 +1 3
75 Eupen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
76 Beerschot VA 1 1 0 0 +1 3
77 Diegem Sport 2 1 0 1 +0 3
78 Berchem Sport 2 1 0 1 +0 3
79 Raeren-Eynatten 2 1 0 1 +0 3
80 Saint-Vith 2 1 0 1 +0 3
81 Messancy 2 1 0 1 +0 3
82 Club Roeselare 2 1 0 1 +0 3
83 Meux 2 1 0 1 +0 3
84 Ganshoren 2 1 0 1 +0 3
85 Thes Sport 2 1 0 1 +0 3
86 Sporting Bruxelles 2 1 0 1 -1 3
87 Mandel United 2 1 0 1 -1 3
88 Harelbeke 2 1 0 1 -1 3
89 Grand-Leez 2 1 0 1 -1 3
90 Elene-Grotenberge 2 1 0 1 -1 3
91 K. Kontich 2 1 0 1 -1 3
92 Sassport Boezinge 2 1 0 1 -2 3
93 La Hulpe 2 1 0 1 -2 3
94 Haasdonk 2 1 0 1 -2 3
95 Gosselies Sports 2 1 0 1 -2 3
96 Le Roeulx 2 1 0 1 -2 3
97 Jette 2 1 0 1 -2 3
98 Oostkamp 2 1 0 1 -2 3
99 KBSK Retie 2 1 0 1 -2 3
100 Zwarte Leeuw 2 1 0 1 -3 3
101 Hades 2 1 0 1 -4 3
102 RESC Houffaloise 2 1 0 1 -4 3
103 Sparta Petegem 2 0 2 0 +0 2
104 PAC Buzet 3 0 2 1 -1 2
105 Onhaye 1 0 1 0 +0 1
106 Antoing 1 0 1 0 +0 1
107 Tilffois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
108 Aische 1 0 1 0 +0 1
109 Meux II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
110 Stade Everois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
111 Esperanza Pelt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
112 Habay-la-Neuve 1 0 1 0 +0 1
113 Lokeren-Temse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
114 Roeselare Daisel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
115 Molenbaix 1 0 1 0 +0 1
116 Stade Verviers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
117 Huldenberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
118 Olsa Brakel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
119 Torhout 1 0 1 0 +0 1
120 Rupel Boom 1 0 1 0 +0 1
121 Entité Manageoise 2 0 1 1 -1 1
122 Ostiches 2 0 1 1 -2 1
123 Fenixx BeigHum 2 0 1 1 -2 1
124 Betekom 2 0 1 1 -2 1
125 Bioul 2 0 1 1 -3 1
126 RAS Monceau 2 0 1 1 -3 1
127 Ezaart Sport Mol 2 0 1 1 -4 1
128 Marloie Sport 2 0 1 1 -4 1
129 Sparta Waasmunster 2 0 1 1 -7 1
130 Berlaar-Heikant 1 0 0 1 -1 0
131 KRC Gent 1 0 0 1 -1 0
132 Mormont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
133 Verlaine 1 0 0 1 -1 0
134 Stockay-Warfusée 1 0 0 1 -1 0
135 Wambeek-Ternat 1 0 0 1 -1 0
136 Harre-Manhay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
137 Waterloo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
138 Zelzate 1 0 0 1 -1 0
139 HO Kalken 1 0 0 1 -1 0
140 Geel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
141 Tournai 1 0 0 1 -1 0
142 Francs Borains 1 0 0 1 -1 0
143 Zonhoven United 1 0 0 1 -1 0
144 Racing Mechelen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
145 's Gravenwezel-Schilde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
146 Luingnois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
147 Verlaine II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
148 Hannut 1 0 0 1 -1 0
149 La Louvière Centre 1 0 0 1 -1 0
150 Huy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
151 VW Hamme 1 0 0 1 -1 0
152 Bocholt 1 0 0 1 -1 0
153 Union Namur 1 0 0 1 -1 0
154 Dessel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
155 Waremme 1 0 0 1 -1 0
156 Stade Mouscronnois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
157 Sparta Heestert 1 0 0 1 -2 0
158 Rochefort 1 0 0 1 -2 0
159 Torpedo Hasselt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
160 Loyers 1 0 0 1 -2 0
161 Olympia Wijgmaal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
162 Aubel 1 0 0 1 -2 0
163 Eendracht Aalter 1 0 0 1 -2 0
164 Libramont 1 0 0 1 -2 0
165 Tienen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
166 Oppagne-Wéris 1 0 0 1 -2 0
167 Avanti 1 0 0 1 -2 0
168 Aywaille 1 0 0 1 -2 0
169 RUS Assenois 1 0 0 1 -2 0
170 Condruzien 1 0 0 1 -2 0
171 Tongeren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
172 KSK Beveren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
173 Wanze / Bas-Oha II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
174 Landen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
175 FC Eupen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
176 Denderhoutem 1 0 0 1 -3 0
177 Ardooie 1 0 0 1 -3 0
178 Flénu 1 0 0 1 -3 0
179 Sint-Denijs Sport 1 0 0 1 -3 0
180 Berlare 1 0 0 1 -3 0
181 Witgoor Sport 1 0 0 1 -3 0
182 Bevel 1 0 0 1 -3 0
183 Rochefort II 1 0 0 1 -4 0
184 Grobbendonk 1 0 0 1 -4 0
185 Longlier 1 0 0 1 -4 0
186 Pepingen-Halle 1 0 0 1 -4 0
187 Herk 1 0 0 1 -4 0
188 Galmaarden 1 0 0 1 -4 0
189 Union Momalloise 1 0 0 1 -4 0
190 Noduwez 1 0 0 1 -5 0
191 Herent 1 0 0 1 -5 0
192 Chevetogne 1 0 0 1 -5 0
193 Elewijt 1 0 0 1 -5 0
194 Eeklo Meetjesland 1 0 0 1 -5 0
195 Noordstar Noorderwijk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
196 Munkzwalm 1 0 0 1 -8 0
197 Wallonia Libin 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.