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LaLiga2
Referee: José López
Granada
U T S S T
3–1
Full-time
Alaves
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
1,5
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 47%
41%
53%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
29%
35%
Both score Ø 30%
6%
53%
Average goals
1,8
1,9
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

77% Possession 23%
12 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Granada 8. · Alaves 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 17 9 7 1 +8 34
2 Las Palmas 17 8 7 2 +11 31
3 Burgos 17 8 7 2 +9 31
4 Levante 17 7 7 3 +6 28
5 Cartagena 17 8 4 5 +5 28
6 Andorra 17 8 3 6 +7 27
7 Eibar 17 7 6 4 +4 27
8 Granada 17 7 4 6 +7 25
9 Albacete 17 6 7 4 -1 25
10 Huesca 17 6 6 5 +2 24
11 Leganes 17 7 3 7 +1 24
12 Sp Gijon 17 5 8 4 +1 23
13 Villarreal B 17 6 5 6 -2 23
14 Oviedo 18 6 5 7 -2 23
15 Tenerife 18 5 5 8 -3 20
16 Zaragoza 17 4 6 7 -4 18
17 Santander 17 4 6 7 -4 18
18 Ponferradina 17 4 5 8 -8 17
19 Mirandes 17 3 7 7 -6 16
20 Lugo 17 3 6 8 -8 15
21 Malaga 17 3 5 9 -9 14
22 Ibiza 17 3 3 11 -14 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Alaves
11′
Xeber Alkain 0–1
Miguel de la Fuente
Óscar Melendo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
20′
1–1 M. Uzuni
Miguel Rubio
23′
28′
🟨 Rubén Duarte
2–1 M. Uzuni
Ricard Sánchez
31′
Njegoš Petrović 🟨
33′
34′
🟥 Xeber Alkain
40′
🟨 Salva Sevilla
41′
🟨 Abdelkabir Abqar
45′
🔁 Jason
↦ Miguel de la Fuente
Half-time 2–1
Víctor Díaz 🔁
↦ N. Petrović
46′
46′
🔁 Toni Moya
↦ Salva Sevilla
46′
🔁 Laguardia
↦ A. Abqar
Óscar Melendo 🟨
50′
51′
🟨 Luis Rioja
3–1 Jorge Molina
M. Uzuni
51′
57′
🔁 T. Hara
↦ Jon Guridi
65′
🟨 Nahuel Tenaglia
Bryan Zaragoza 🔁
↦ Jorge Molina
66′
Rochina 🔁
↦ Óscar Melendo
66′
Rubén Rochina 🟨
68′
69′
🟨 Taichi Hara
J. Silva 🔁
↦ Rochina
85′
85′
🔁 Javi López
↦ Luis Rioja
Alberto Perea 🔁
↦ José Callejón
86′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Granada

4-3-3
33 Adrián López G
30 Ricard Sánchez D
4 Miguel Rubio D
14 Ignasi Miquel D
15 Carlos Neva D
21 Óscar Melendo M
18 N. Petrović M
12 Víctor Meseguer M
11 M. Uzuni F
19 Jorge Molina F
9 José Callejón F
Bench (10)
16 Víctor Díaz
26 Bryan Zaragoza
23 Rochina
5 J. Silva
22 Alberto Perea
29 Pepe Sánchez
17 Quini
37 Rafael Romero
7 Alberto Soro
8 M. Arezo

Coach: Karanka

Alaves

4-3-3
1 Sivera G
14 N. Tenaglia D
22 A. Abqar D
19 N. Maraš D
3 Rubén Duarte D
8 Salva Sevilla M
23 C. Benavídez M
18 Jon Guridi M
17 Xeber Alkain F
9 Miguel de la Fuente F
11 Luis Rioja F
Bench (12)
10 Jason
6 Toni Moya
5 Laguardia
24 T. Hara
27 Javi López
20 Róber
29 A. Mahmoud
31 Jesús Owono
4 A. Sedlar
21 A. Rebbach
32 Imanol Baz
2 A. Arroyo

Coach: Luis García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,30
U
2,98
B
3,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,58
U2,5
1,48
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José López · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.