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Champions League
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Sp Lisbon
S T S T S
0–2
Full-time
Marseille
T U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

31% Possession 69%
4 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 15
6 Yellow cards 2
2 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Oct -22 Marseille – Sp Lisbon 4–1

Match report

Sp Lisbon Marseille
8′
🟨 Mattéo Guendouzi
Ricardo Esgaio 🟨
16′
Ricardo Esgaio 🟨
19′
Ricardo Esgaio 🟥
19′
20′
⚽ M. Guendouzi 0–1
I. Fatawu 🔁
↦ H. Morita
22′
30′
⚽ A. Sánchez 0–2
A. Harit
31′
ℹ️ Jordan Veretout
VAR: Goal confirmed
José Marsà 🔁
↦ S. Coates
35′
S. Alexandropoulos 🔁
↦ M. Edwards
35′
43′
🟨 Eric Bailly
Half-time 0–2
Flávio Nazinho 🔁
↦ Trincão
46′
Manuel Ugarte 🟨
54′
Pedro Porro 🔁
↦ Nuno Santos
59′
Pedro Gonçalves 🟨
60′
Pedro Gonçalves 🟨
60′
Pedro Gonçalves 🟥
60′
64′
🔁 S. Gigot
↦ E. Bailly
64′
🔁 C. Ünder
↦ M. Guendouzi
64′
🔁 I. Kaboré
↦ J. Clauss
72′
🔁 D. Payet
↦ A. Harit
Pedro Porro 🟨
74′
87′
🔁 P. Gueye
↦ J. Veretout
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Sp Lisbon

3-4-3
12 F. Israel G
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
4 S. Coates D
2 Matheus Reis D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
15 M. Ugarte M
5 H. Morita M
11 Nuno Santos M
17 Trincão F
10 M. Edwards F
28 Pote F
Bench (10)
18 I. Fatawu
63 José Marsà
6 S. Alexandropoulos
71 Flávio Nazinho
24 Pedro Porro
16 Rochinha
22 André Paulo
41 Diego Callai
20 Paulinho
33 Arthur Gomes

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Marseille

3-4-2-1
16 Pau López G
99 C. Mbemba D
3 E. Bailly D
5 L. Balerdi D
7 J. Clauss M
21 V. Rongier M
27 J. Veretout M
30 Nuno Tavares M
6 M. Guendouzi F
77 A. Harit F
70 A. Sánchez F
Bench (9)
4 S. Gigot
17 C. Ünder
29 I. Kaboré
10 D. Payet
22 P. Gueye
36 Rubén Blanco
11 L. Suárez
1 S. Ngapandouetnbu
8 Gerson

Coach: I. Tudor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.