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Championship
Referee: S Martin
Birmingham
U T U S T
0–1
Full-time
Hull
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Championship · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 31%
33%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
42%
54%
Both score Ø 52%
46%
58%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 9
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Birmingham 14. · Hull 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 24 14 8 2 +25 50
2 Sheffield United 25 15 5 5 +21 50
3 Blackburn 25 13 0 12 -1 39
4 Watford 24 10 7 7 +6 37
5 Sunderland 24 10 6 8 +9 36
6 Middlesbrough 24 10 6 8 +7 36
7 Millwall 24 10 6 8 +3 36
8 West Brom 25 9 8 8 +7 35
9 Norwich 24 10 5 9 +4 35
10 Luton 23 9 8 6 +4 35
11 QPR 25 10 5 10 -3 35
12 Reading 24 11 2 11 -6 35
13 Preston 25 9 7 9 -3 34
14 Birmingham 24 8 8 8 +1 32
15 Swansea 24 8 8 8 -3 32
16 Coventry 23 8 7 8 +0 31
17 Stoke 24 8 6 10 -4 30
18 Bristol City 25 7 7 11 -3 28
19 Cardiff 25 7 7 11 -8 28
20 Rotherham 25 6 9 10 -8 27
21 Hull 24 7 6 11 -14 27
22 Huddersfield 24 7 4 13 -7 25
23 Blackpool 25 6 7 12 -10 25
24 Wigan 25 6 6 13 -17 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Birmingham Hull
Juninho Bacuna 🟨
32′
38′
🟨 Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
Half-time 0–0
Marc Roberts 🟨
57′
J. Graham 🔁
↦ M. Emmanuel
59′
L. Jutkiewicz 🔁
↦ D. Sanderson
59′
65′
🔁 T. Smith
↦ A. Sayyadmanesh
77′
Ó. Estupiñán 0–1
C. Christie
J. James 🔁
↦ J. Bacuna
79′
87′
🔁 Tobias Figueiredo
↦ R. Slater
J. Leko 🔁
↦ M. Colin
89′
Troy Deeney 🟨
94′
94′
🔁 C. Elder
↦ R. Longman
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Birmingham

3-1-4-2
21 J. Ruddy G
28 D. Sanderson D
4 M. Roberts D
5 A. Trusty D
31 K. Bielik M
2 M. Colin M
6 H. Mejbri M
7 J. Bacuna M
23 M. Emmanuel M
18 T. Chong F
8 T. Deeney F
Bench (7)
11 J. Graham
10 L. Jutkiewicz
19 J. James
14 J. Leko
42 A. Chang
27 J. Bellingham
1 N. Etheridge

Coach: J. Eustace

Hull

4-2-3-1
1 M. Ingram G
33 C. Christie D
5 A. Jones D
17 S. McLoughlin D
4 J. Greaves D
8 G. Docherty M
24 J. Seri M
16 R. Longman M
27 R. Slater M
9 A. Sayyadmanesh M
19 Ó. Estupiñán F
Bench (7)
22 T. Smith
6 Tobias Figueiredo
3 C. Elder
7 O. Tufan
15 R. Woods
32 T. Lo-Tutala
35 X. Simons

Coach: L. Rosenior

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,01
U
3,36
B ✓
3,86
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,21
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Martin · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.