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LaLiga2
Oviedo
U S T U T
2–3
Full-time
Logrones
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Logrones
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 8/7 matches
Win Ø 14%
13%
14%
Points per game
0,9
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 21%
13%
29%
Both score Ø 41%
38%
43%
Average goals
1,4
1,9
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

8 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 6
7 Corners 3
14 Free kicks against 24
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oviedo 18. · Logrones 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 9 6 2 1 +10 20
2 Sp Gijon 8 5 1 2 +4 16
3 Mallorca 8 4 3 1 +5 15
4 Leganes 8 5 0 3 +2 15
5 Malaga 8 4 2 2 -2 14
6 Vallecano 8 4 1 3 +2 13
7 Fuenlabrada 8 3 4 1 +1 13
8 Las Palmas 9 3 4 2 +0 13
9 Cartagena 9 3 3 3 +2 12
10 Ponferradina 8 4 0 4 +1 12
11 Lugo 8 4 0 4 +0 12
12 Girona 7 4 0 3 -2 12
13 Almeria 7 3 1 3 +2 10
14 Mirandes 8 2 4 2 +0 10
15 Albacete 9 2 3 4 -3 9
16 Castellon 9 2 2 5 -2 8
17 Tenerife 8 2 2 4 -3 8
18 Oviedo 8 1 4 3 -3 7
19 Zaragoza 6 1 3 2 -1 6
20 Alcorcon 6 1 2 3 -2 5
21 Logrones 7 1 2 4 -3 5
22 Sabadell 6 0 1 5 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,34
U
2,88
B ✓
3,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,78
U2,5
1,42
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.