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Championship

Referee: J Simpson

West Brom

U U S S T

1–0

Full-time

Birmingham

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Birmingham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,3

0,2

Conceded

0,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-2,3

This season — Championship · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 42%

58%

25%

Points per game

2,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

50%

42%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%

11 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 2

0 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match West Brom 2. · Birmingham 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bournemouth	12	7	5	0	+10	26
2	West Brom	12	7	4	1	+12	25
3	Coventry	12	8	1	3	+7	25
4	Stoke	11	6	3	2	+4	21
5	Fulham	11	6	2	3	+10	20
6	Bristol City	12	5	4	3	+2	19
7	Reading	12	6	1	5	+0	19
8	QPR	11	5	3	3	+6	18
9	Luton	11	4	4	3	+5	16
10	Blackburn	11	4	4	3	+5	16
11	Huddersfield	9	5	1	3	+4	16
12	Sheffield United	12	4	3	5	+2	15
13	Millwall	11	3	6	2	+0	15
14	Blackpool	11	4	3	4	-3	15
15	Preston	12	3	5	4	-2	14
16	Derby	12	3	5	4	-2	14
17	Middlesbrough	11	3	3	5	-2	12
18	Cardiff	12	3	3	6	-7	12
19	Birmingham	12	3	3	6	-8	12
20	Swansea	11	2	5	4	-5	11
21	Hull	11	2	3	6	-7	9
22	Nott'm Forest	10	2	2	6	-2	8
23	Barnsley	11	1	5	5	-7	8
24	Peterboro	11	2	2	7	-11	8
25	Peterborough	11	2	2	7	-11	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Coventry	7	7	0	0	+14	21
2	Stoke	6	5	1	0	+6	16
3	Bournemouth	6	4	2	0	+6	14
4	Reading	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Luton	6	3	2	1	+6	11
6	West Brom	5	3	2	0	+6	11
7	QPR	6	3	2	1	+4	11
8	Preston	6	3	2	1	+1	11
9	Sheffield United	6	3	1	2	+7	10
10	Blackburn	5	3	1	1	+6	10
11	Fulham	5	3	1	1	+6	10
12	Derby	6	2	4	0	+2	10
13	Huddersfield	4	3	0	1	+2	9
14	Blackpool	6	3	0	3	-3	9
15	Peterboro	6	2	2	2	+2	8
16	Peterborough	6	2	2	2	+2	8
17	Millwall	5	2	2	1	+1	8
18	Middlesbrough	5	2	1	2	+1	7
19	Swansea	5	1	3	1	-1	6
20	Barnsley	6	1	2	3	-3	5
21	Hull	6	1	2	3	-4	5
22	Birmingham	6	1	2	3	-6	5
23	Bristol City	5	0	4	1	-1	4
24	Cardiff	6	1	1	4	-5	4
25	Nott'm Forest	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bristol City	7	5	0	2	+3	15
2	West Brom	7	4	2	1	+6	14
3	Bournemouth	6	3	3	0	+4	12
4	Fulham	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Cardiff	6	2	2	2	-2	8
6	Nott'm Forest	5	2	1	2	+3	7
7	QPR	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Huddersfield	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Millwall	6	1	4	1	-1	7
10	Birmingham	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Blackpool	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Blackburn	6	1	3	2	-1	6
13	Reading	6	2	0	4	-5	6
14	Luton	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Stoke	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Middlesbrough	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	Swansea	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Sheffield United	6	1	2	3	-5	5
19	Hull	5	1	1	3	-3	4
20	Derby	6	1	1	4	-4	4
21	Coventry	5	1	1	3	-7	4
22	Preston	6	0	3	3	-3	3
23	Barnsley	5	0	3	2	-4	3
24	Peterboro	5	0	0	5	-13	0
25	Peterborough	5	0	0	5	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.