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Serie B

Brescia

U S U S U

1–1

Full-time

Spal

T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Serie B · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 33%

46%

20%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

31%

46%

Both score Ø 56%

54%

57%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

12 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 2

7 Corners 6

14 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brescia 6. · Spal 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	36	18	14	4	+28	68
2	Cremonese	36	19	9	8	+18	66
3	Monza	36	18	10	8	+20	64
4	Benevento	35	18	9	8	+28	63
5	Pisa	36	17	12	7	+12	63
6	Brescia	35	16	14	5	+18	62
7	Ascoli	36	17	8	11	+6	59
8	Frosinone	36	15	13	8	+17	58
9	Perugia	35	12	16	7	+7	52
10	Cittadella	36	12	13	11	+2	49
11	Ternana	35	13	9	13	-2	48
12	Reggina	36	13	9	14	-12	48
13	Parma	35	10	15	10	+5	45
14	Como	35	10	14	11	-5	44
15	Spal	35	7	14	14	-12	35
16	Alessandria	36	8	9	19	-21	33
17	Cosenza	36	7	10	19	-24	31
18	Crotone	36	4	13	19	-19	25
19	Vicenza	35	6	7	22	-25	25
20	Pordenone	36	3	8	25	-41	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	18	12	5	1	+22	41
2	Monza	18	12	4	2	+20	40
3	Cremonese	18	11	6	1	+15	39
4	Pisa	18	10	7	1	+13	37
5	Frosinone	18	10	6	2	+19	36
6	Benevento	17	10	4	3	+20	34
7	Reggina	18	9	2	7	-2	29
8	Brescia	17	7	7	3	+7	28
9	Ascoli	18	7	6	5	+3	27
10	Ternana	18	8	2	8	+2	26
11	Cosenza	18	7	3	8	-3	24
12	Parma	18	5	8	5	+5	23
13	Cittadella	18	6	5	7	+3	23
14	Como	17	5	7	5	+2	22
15	Alessandria	18	5	6	7	-6	21
16	Perugia	17	4	8	5	+1	20
17	Crotone	18	4	8	6	-1	20
18	Spal	18	3	8	7	-1	17
19	Vicenza	18	4	5	9	-5	17
20	Pordenone	18	2	6	10	-15	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	18	9	7	2	+11	34
2	Perugia	18	8	8	2	+6	32
3	Ascoli	18	10	2	6	+3	32
4	Benevento	18	8	5	5	+8	29
5	Lecce	18	6	9	3	+6	27
6	Cremonese	18	8	3	7	+3	27
7	Pisa	18	7	5	6	-1	26
8	Cittadella	18	6	8	4	-1	26
9	Monza	18	6	6	6	+0	24
10	Parma	17	5	7	5	+0	22
11	Frosinone	18	5	7	6	-2	22
12	Ternana	17	5	7	5	-4	22
13	Como	18	5	7	6	-7	22
14	Reggina	18	4	7	7	-10	19
15	Spal	17	4	6	7	-11	18
16	Alessandria	18	3	3	12	-15	12
17	Vicenza	17	2	2	13	-20	8
18	Cosenza	18	0	7	11	-21	7
19	Crotone	18	0	5	13	-18	5
20	Pordenone	18	1	2	15	-26	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.