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Ligue 2
Referee: R Landry
Bastia
U U U T U
0–1
Full-time
Boulogne
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Boulogne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 25/26 matches
Win Ø 22%
12%
31%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
20%
50%
Both score Ø 41%
28%
54%
Average goals
1,7
2,6
Scored
0,6
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
13 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
23 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bastia 18. · Boulogne 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 26 15 6 5 +16 51
2 St Etienne 26 15 4 7 +17 49
3 Le Mans 26 11 11 4 +9 44
4 Reims 26 11 10 5 +14 43
5 Rodez 26 10 10 6 +1 40
6 Dunkerque 26 10 9 7 +14 39
7 Annecy 26 11 6 9 +6 39
8 Montpellier 26 11 5 10 +6 38
9 Red Star 25 10 8 7 +3 38
10 Guingamp 26 9 9 8 -1 36
11 Pau FC 26 9 8 9 -5 35
12 Boulogne 26 8 6 12 -9 30
13 Grenoble 26 6 11 9 -6 29
14 Clermont 26 7 7 12 -5 28
15 Nancy 26 7 6 13 -14 27
16 Amiens 26 6 5 15 -15 23
17 Laval 26 3 11 12 -16 20
18 Bastia 25 3 10 12 -15 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Sep -25 Boulogne – Bastia 1–0

Match report

Bastia Boulogne
23′
A. El Farissi 0–1
C. Fatou
Jeremy Sebas 🟨
26′
Half-time 0–1
F. Bohnert 🔁
↦ Z. Ariss
46′
Amine Boutrah 🟨
51′
R. Beliandjou 🔁
↦ T. Ducrocq
59′
A. Zaouai 🔁
↦ A. Boutrah
59′
F. Tomi 🔁
↦ J. Sebas
60′
68′
🔁 J. Martin
↦ S. Duflos
68′
🔁 M. Lecolier
↦ C. Fatou
74′
🔁 A. Platret
↦ A. El Farissi
Joachim Eickmayer 🟨
75′
83′
🔁 G. Capuano
↦ Z. Moco
J. Janneh 🔁
↦ C. Vincent
85′
90′
🟨 Aurelien Platret
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Bastia

4-2-3-1
30 J. Placide G
24 T. Meynadier D
28 G. Akueson D
3 J. Guevara D
5 Z. Ariss D
13 T. Ducrocq M
17 J. Eickmayer M
29 M. Merghem M
7 C. Vincent M
10 A. Boutrah M
14 J. Sebas F
Bench (7)
1 L. Olmeta
9 F. Tomi
4 A. Roncaglia
66 J. Janneh
15 F. Bohnert
33 R. Beliandjou
18 A. Zaouai

Coach: Michel Moretti

Boulogne

4-1-4-1
99 B. Noukeu G
18 D. Thiam D
15 A. Pinot D
5 N. Zohore D
12 J. Boyer D
19 N. Binet M
10 A. El Farissi M
97 Z. Moco M
22 S. Duflos M
3 V. Burlet M
17 C. Fatou F
Bench (7)
16 I. Kone
26 G. Capuano
90 J. Martin
21 A. Platret
9 M. Lecolier
7 L. Boiteau
4 J. Kapenga

Coach: Fabien Dagneaux

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,02
U
2,99
B ✓
3,84
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,63
U2,5 ✓
1,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Landry · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.