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Ligue 2
Referee: M Leleu
Rodez
T T S U T
5–1
Full-time
Dunkerque
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Dunkerque
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 44%
28%
60%
Points per game
1,1
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
68%
40%
Both score Ø 56%
64%
48%
Average goals
3,3
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
18 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
9 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Rodez 15. · Dunkerque 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 26 16 4 6 +19 52
2 Paris FC 26 16 4 6 +17 52
3 Metz 26 14 8 4 +25 50
4 Dunkerque 25 15 3 7 +12 48
5 Guingamp 26 13 3 10 +10 42
6 Laval 26 11 7 8 +8 40
7 Annecy 26 11 6 9 -4 39
8 Bastia 26 8 13 5 +6 37
9 Grenoble 26 10 6 10 +1 36
10 Troyes 26 10 3 13 +2 33
11 Pau FC 26 8 9 9 -7 33
12 Red Star 26 9 5 12 -12 32
13 Ajaccio 26 9 4 13 -9 31
14 Amiens 26 9 3 14 -14 30
15 Rodez 25 7 6 12 -2 27
16 Clermont 26 6 7 13 -13 25
17 Martigues 26 7 3 16 -23 24
18 Caen 26 5 4 17 -16 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Dunkerque
10′
N. Skyttä 0–1
G. Courtet
13′
🟨 Opa Sangante
27′
🟥 Enzo Bardeli
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 K. Tejan
↦ Muhannad Al Saad
46′
🔁 G. Kondo
↦ G. Yassine
1–1 T. Bentayeb
S. Mambo
52′
2–1 T. Bentayeb
54′
Tawfik Bentayeb 🟨
55′
3–1 T. Nkada
W. Taïbi
57′
M. Achi 🔁
↦ T. Bentayeb
60′
M. Bouchouari 🔁
↦ N. Galves
61′
68′
🔁 Y. Bammou
↦ G. Courtet
68′
🔁 A. Pitu
↦ N. Skyttä
70′
🟨 Ugo Raghouber
78′
🔁 M. Rivera
↦ Abner
4–1 D. Mazou-Sacko
T. Nkada
80′
H. Garie 🔁
↦ W. Younoussa
86′
Y. Verdier 🔁
↦ T. Nkada
86′
5–1 W. Taïbi
Y. Verdier
90′
A. Pelon 🔁
↦ D. Mazou-Sacko
91′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Rodez

5-3-2
99 M. Diaw G
25 N. Galves D
6 A. Ngouyamsa D
2 É. Vandenabeele D
4 S. Mambo D
28 A. Abdallah D
8 W. Younoussa M
19 D. Mazou-Sacko M
10 W. Taïbi M
22 T. Bentayeb F
9 T. Nkada F
Bench (7)
7 M. Achi
11 M. Bouchouari
33 H. Garie
26 Y. Verdier
17 A. Pelon
16 L. Mpasi
24 L. Laurent

Coach: D. Santini

Dunkerque

4-1-4-1
16 Adrián Ortolá G
2 A. Georgen D
26 Opa Sanganté D
23 V. Sasso D
30 Abner D
28 U. Raghouber M
77 Muhannad Al Saad M
22 N. Skyttä M
20 E. Bardeli M
80 G. Yassine M
18 G. Courtet F
Bench (7)
9 K. Tejan
21 G. Kondo
19 Y. Bammou
11 A. Pitu
8 M. Rivera
4 N. Fernandez-Veliz
1 E. Jaouen

Coach: Luís Castro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,42
U
3,25
B
2,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,97
U2,5
1,78
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Leleu · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.