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Ligue 2

Referee: F Benchabane

Pau FC

U S S U T

1–0

Full-time

Ajaccio

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,5

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

This season — Ligue 2 · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 30%

33%

27%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

40%

20%

Both score Ø 34%

40%

27%

Average goals

2,4

1,7

Scored

1,1

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

23 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 3

21 Free kicks against 18

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Pau FC 11. · Ajaccio 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	15	9	4	2	+13	31
2	Lorient	15	9	3	3	+13	30
3	Metz	15	8	4	3	+11	28
4	Dunkerque	15	9	1	5	+3	28
5	Annecy	15	7	5	3	+5	26
6	Guingamp	15	8	1	6	+6	25
7	Amiens	15	7	2	6	+1	23
8	Laval	15	6	4	5	+6	22
9	Rodez	15	5	4	6	+3	19
10	Bastia	15	3	10	2	+0	19
11	Pau FC	15	5	4	6	-2	19
12	Grenoble	15	5	3	7	+0	18
13	Clermont	15	4	4	7	-5	16
14	Caen	15	4	3	8	-4	15
15	Ajaccio	15	4	3	8	-6	15
16	Troyes	15	4	3	8	-8	15
17	Red Star	15	4	3	8	-14	15
18	Martigues	15	2	3	10	-22	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	7	7	0	0	+14	21
2	Dunkerque	8	7	0	1	+7	21
3	Metz	8	5	3	0	+11	18
4	Annecy	7	6	0	1	+9	18
5	Amiens	7	5	2	0	+8	17
6	Guingamp	8	5	1	2	+11	16
7	Pau FC	7	4	2	1	+6	14
8	Grenoble	8	4	2	2	+5	14
9	Paris FC	7	4	2	1	+4	14
10	Ajaccio	8	4	2	2	+3	14
11	Laval	7	3	2	2	+2	11
12	Bastia	7	2	5	0	+2	11
13	Caen	8	3	2	3	+0	11
14	Rodez	7	3	1	3	+1	10
15	Clermont	8	2	3	3	+1	9
16	Troyes	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Red Star	7	2	2	3	-6	8
18	Martigues	9	0	1	8	-16	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	8	5	2	1	+9	17
2	Laval	8	3	2	3	+4	11
3	Metz	7	3	1	3	+0	10
4	Rodez	8	2	3	3	+2	9
5	Lorient	8	2	3	3	-1	9
6	Guingamp	7	3	0	4	-5	9
7	Bastia	8	1	5	2	-2	8
8	Annecy	8	1	5	2	-4	8
9	Martigues	6	2	2	2	-6	8
10	Dunkerque	7	2	1	4	-4	7
11	Troyes	8	2	1	5	-5	7
12	Clermont	7	2	1	4	-6	7
13	Red Star	8	2	1	5	-8	7
14	Amiens	8	2	0	6	-7	6
15	Pau FC	8	1	2	5	-8	5
16	Caen	7	1	1	5	-4	4
17	Grenoble	7	1	1	5	-5	4
18	Ajaccio	7	0	1	6	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.