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Coupe de France

Referee: F Benchabane

Bastia

U T U S U

2–0

Full-time

Nancy

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Nancy

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

4,7

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,2

2,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — Coupe de France · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

6,0

Scored

4,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+4,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Bastia 13. · Nancy 30. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	La Roche VF	2	1	1	0	+6	4
2	Orleans	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Stade Briochin	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Corte	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Saint-Malo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Red Star	1	1	0	0	+6	3
7	SA Mérignac	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Martigues	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Caen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Istres	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Mâcon	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Jura Sud Foot	1	1	0	0	+4	3
18	Aubervilliers	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Bobigny	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Union Saint-Jean	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	Saint-Denis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Boulogne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Metz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Colmar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Thionville Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Marmande	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Olympique d'Alès	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Nancy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	RC Calais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Versailles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Calais Beau-Marais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Hauts Lyonnais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Monnaie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Concarneau	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Ginglin Cesson	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
45	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
46	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+2	3
47	Cannes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
48	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
49	Neuilly sur Marne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Chasselay MDA	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Aigles d'Or de Mana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Angoulême	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Gallia Lucciana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Drancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Le Mans	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	Chambéry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
57	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
58	RC Saint Joseph	1	1	0	0	+1	3
59	La Roche sur Yon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
60	Bolbec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
61	Beauvais	1	1	0	0	+1	3
62	Rumilly Vallières	1	1	0	0	+1	3
63	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
64	Cluses-Scionzier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
65	Haguenau	1	1	0	0	+1	3
66	Valence FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
67	Olympique de Valence	1	1	0	0	+1	3
68	ASS Still Mutzig	1	1	0	0	+1	3
69	Beaumont Saint-Cyr	1	1	0	0	+1	3
70	Couzeix-Chaptelat	1	1	0	0	+1	3
71	Carnoux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
72	Hettange-Grande	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Lunéville	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Colomiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Vierzon FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Dragon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Cesson	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	TA Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
80	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
81	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
82	Grenoble	1	0	1	0	+0	1
83	Villefranche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
84	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
85	Amiens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
86	Agde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
87	Romorantin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
88	Raon l'Etape	1	0	1	0	+0	1
89	Biesheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
90	Saint-Omer	1	0	1	0	+0	1
91	Noyelles sous Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
92	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
93	Saint-Pierre Milizac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
94	Dinan Léhon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
95	Montagnarde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
96	Tours	1	0	1	0	+0	1
97	Saint-Lô Manche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
98	Dives-Cabourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
99	Le Touquet	1	0	1	0	+0	1
100	Porto Portugais Amiens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
101	Liancourt Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
102	Brétigny Foot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
103	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
104	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
105	Stade Béthunois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
106	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
107	Étoile Maritime	1	0	1	0	+0	1
108	USSA Vertou	1	0	1	0	+0	1
109	Crépy-en-Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
110	Diables Noirs	2	0	1	1	-2	1
111	Roubaix	1	0	0	1	-1	0
112	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
113	Etoile Matoury	1	0	0	1	-1	0
114	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
115	OCPAM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
116	Pays de Cassel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
117	Vannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
118	Saint-Cyr Collonges	1	0	0	1	-1	0
119	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
120	Samaritaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
121	Vendée Fontenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
122	Saint-Brieuc	1	0	0	1	-1	0
123	Maladrerie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
124	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
125	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
126	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
127	Marboz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
128	Blenod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
129	Marignane	1	0	0	1	-1	0
130	Arles	1	0	0	1	-1	0
131	Illkirch Graffenstaden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
132	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
133	Sauveteurs Brivois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
134	Lempdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
135	Stade Beaucairois	1	0	0	1	-2	0
136	Epinal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
137	Grandvillars	1	0	0	1	-2	0
138	Sablé	1	0	0	1	-2	0
139	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
140	Gueugnon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
141	Canet Roussillon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
142	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
143	Foron	1	0	0	1	-2	0
144	AC Paris 15	1	0	0	1	-2	0
145	Anduzien	1	0	0	1	-2	0
146	Fief-Gesté	1	0	0	1	-2	0
147	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
148	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
149	Alençon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
150	Ruffiac Malestroit	1	0	0	1	-2	0
151	Arras	1	0	0	1	-2	0
152	Comtal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
153	Grau-du-Roi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
154	Bressuire	1	0	0	1	-2	0
155	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	0	1	-3	0
156	Niort	1	0	0	1	-3	0
157	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
158	Paimpol	1	0	0	1	-3	0
159	Thouars	1	0	0	1	-3	0
160	FCSR Obernai	1	0	0	1	-3	0
161	Feytiat	1	0	0	1	-3	0
162	Nousseviller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
163	Boulay	1	0	0	1	-3	0
164	Avenir Mourenxois	1	0	0	1	-3	0
165	C' Chartres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
166	Freyming	1	0	0	1	-4	0
167	Cannet Rocheville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
168	Guéreins Genouilleux	1	0	0	1	-4	0
169	St-Just St-Rambert	1	0	0	1	-4	0
170	Valdahon Vercel	1	0	0	1	-4	0
171	ETC Anstaing Chéreng	1	0	0	1	-4	0
172	Labourse	1	0	0	1	-4	0
173	Montferrand	1	0	0	1	-4	0
174	Vesoul	1	0	0	1	-5	0
175	Serquigny Nassandres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
176	Raismes	1	0	0	1	-5	0
177	Allobroges Asafia	1	0	0	1	-5	0
178	Haubourdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0
179	St-Philbert Réorthe JA	1	0	0	1	-6	0
180	Olympique Cazaux	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Corte	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Istres	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Olympique d'Alès	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Calais Beau-Marais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Ginglin Cesson	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Aigles d'Or de Mana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Angoulême	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Gallia Lucciana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Drancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Chambéry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	RC Saint Joseph	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Beauvais	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Rumilly Vallières	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Valence FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Olympique de Valence	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	ASS Still Mutzig	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Beaumont Saint-Cyr	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Couzeix-Chaptelat	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Hettange-Grande	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Colomiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Dragon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Cesson	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Grenoble	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Orleans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Agde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Raon l'Etape	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Saint-Omer	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Saint-Pierre Milizac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Montagnarde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Saint-Lô Manche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Le Touquet	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Liancourt Clermont	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Stade Béthunois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Stade Briochin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Étoile Maritime	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Crépy-en-Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Roubaix	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Vannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Vendée Fontenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Saint-Brieuc	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Maladrerie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Marboz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Blenod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Lempdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Epinal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Grandvillars	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Gueugnon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Canet Roussillon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Foron	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Anduzien	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Fief-Gesté	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Ruffiac Malestroit	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Arras	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Comtal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Grau-du-Roi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Bressuire	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Niort	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Paimpol	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	FCSR Obernai	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Feytiat	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Nousseviller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Boulay	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Avenir Mourenxois	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	C' Chartres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
79	Freyming	1	0	0	1	-4	0
80	Guéreins Genouilleux	1	0	0	1	-4	0
81	St-Just St-Rambert	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	Valdahon Vercel	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	ETC Anstaing Chéreng	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Labourse	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Montferrand	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	Vesoul	1	0	0	1	-5	0
87	Serquigny Nassandres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
88	Raismes	1	0	0	1	-5	0
89	Allobroges Asafia	1	0	0	1	-5	0
90	Haubourdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0
91	St-Philbert Réorthe JA	1	0	0	1	-6	0
92	Olympique Cazaux	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	La Roche VF	2	1	1	0	+6	4
2	Saint-Malo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Red Star	1	1	0	0	+6	3
4	SA Mérignac	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Martigues	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Caen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Mâcon	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Jura Sud Foot	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Aubervilliers	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Bobigny	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Union Saint-Jean	1	1	0	0	+4	3
17	Saint-Denis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Orleans	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Boulogne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Stade Briochin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Metz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Colmar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	Thionville Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	Marmande	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Nancy	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	RC Calais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Versailles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Hauts Lyonnais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Monnaie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Concarneau	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Cannes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Neuilly sur Marne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	Chasselay MDA	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Le Mans	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	La Roche sur Yon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Bolbec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Cluses-Scionzier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Haguenau	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Carnoux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Lunéville	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Vierzon FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	TA Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Villefranche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Amiens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Romorantin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Biesheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Noyelles sous Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Dinan Léhon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Tours	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Dives-Cabourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Porto Portugais Amiens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Brétigny Foot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	USSA Vertou	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Diables Noirs	2	0	1	1	-2	1
70	Etoile Matoury	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	OCPAM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Pays de Cassel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Saint-Cyr Collonges	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Samaritaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Marignane	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Arles	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Illkirch Graffenstaden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Sauveteurs Brivois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Stade Beaucairois	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Sablé	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	AC Paris 15	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Alençon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Thouars	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Cannet Rocheville	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.