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Ligue 2
Referee: A Petit
Martigues
U U T S T
0–1
Full-time
Red Star
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Martigues Red Star
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 23%
18%
27%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
45%
55%
Both score Ø 36%
27%
45%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
0,6
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%
7 Shots 18
0 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 11
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Martigues 18. · Red Star 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 11 8 1 2 +11 25
2 Lorient 11 7 2 2 +10 23
3 Annecy 11 5 4 2 +5 19
4 Amiens 11 6 1 4 +4 19
5 Dunkerque 11 6 1 4 +1 19
6 Metz 11 5 3 3 +7 18
7 Grenoble 11 5 2 4 +6 17
8 Guingamp 11 5 1 5 +1 16
9 Bastia 10 3 6 1 +2 15
10 Pau FC 11 4 3 4 -2 15
11 Laval 11 4 2 5 +2 14
12 Clermont 11 3 3 5 -2 12
13 Rodez 11 3 2 6 -2 11
14 Caen 11 3 2 6 -4 11
15 Ajaccio 10 3 2 5 -4 11
16 Red Star 11 3 2 6 -9 11
17 Troyes 11 3 1 7 -9 10
18 Martigues 11 2 2 7 -17 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Martigues Red Star
Half-time 0–0
Nathanaël Saintini 🟨
56′
57′
🟨 Ryad Hachem
S. Shamal 🔁
↦ B. Moussiti-Oko
66′
67′
🔁 H. Benali
↦ D. Durand
67′
🔁 K. Cissé
↦ J. Eickmayer
77′
🔁 A. Fall
↦ A. Badji
I. Zouaoui 🔁
↦ M. Bamba
82′
L. Gautier 🔁
↦ N. Saintini
86′
88′
🔁 I. Botella
↦ M. Ifnaoui
Steve Solvet 🟨
95′
Steve Solvet 🟨
97′
Steve Solvet 🟥
97′
98′
H. Benali 0–1
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Martigues

4-1-4-1
30 J. Aymes G
39 N. Saintini D
3 S. Solvet D
24 L. Morante D
18 A. Amraoui D
26 S. Belloumou M
27 A. Ipiélé M
12 M. Robin M
41 M. Bamba M
29 O. Mendy M
14 B. Moussiti-Oko F
Bench (7)
17 S. Shamal
8 I. Zouaoui
34 L. Gautier
19 P. Ouotro
10 K. Tlili
40 Y. Marillat
22 A. Djaha

Coach: T. Laurey

Red Star

4-2-3-1
1 Q. Beunardeau G
13 F. Doucouré D
5 J. Escartin D
28 L. Kouagba D
98 R. Hachem D
26 F. Dembi M
8 J. Eickmayer M
10 M. Ifnaoui M
19 H. Mbock M
7 D. Durand M
21 A. Badji F
Bench (7)
29 H. Benali
11 K. Cissé
9 A. Fall
17 I. Botella
16 W. Avognan
20 D. Durivaux
93 A. El Hriti

Coach: G. Poirier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,31
U
3,23
B ✓
2,19
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Petit · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.