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Championship

Referee: M Salisbury

Stoke

U T S U S

2–2

Full-time

Barnsley

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stoke Barnsley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — Championship · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 20%

40%

Points per game

1,6

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 20%

40%

Both score Ø 30%

20%

40%

Average goals

1,4

2,0

Scored

0,8

0,6

Conceded

0,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

53% Possession 47%

8 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

5 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stoke 11. · Barnsley 23. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	6	5	1	0	+7	16
2	Bristol City	6	4	1	1	+5	13
3	Bournemouth	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Swansea	6	3	2	1	+3	11
5	Millwall	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Watford	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Norwich	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Huddersfield	6	3	1	2	-1	10
9	Middlesbrough	6	2	3	1	+1	9
10	Luton	6	3	0	3	-1	9
11	Stoke	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	Sheffield Weds	5	2	2	1	+1	8
13	Blackburn	5	2	1	2	+7	7
14	Brentford	5	2	1	2	+2	7
15	Cardiff	5	2	1	2	+0	7
16	QPR	5	1	3	1	+1	6
17	Rotherham	6	1	3	2	-1	6
18	Birmingham	6	1	3	2	-1	6
19	Coventry	6	1	2	3	-4	5
20	Preston	5	1	1	3	-1	4
21	Nott'm Forest	6	1	1	4	-5	4
22	Derby	6	1	0	5	-8	3
23	Barnsley	5	0	2	3	-4	2
24	Wycombe	6	0	0	6	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Bournemouth	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Brentford	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Bristol City	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Watford	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Luton	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Huddersfield	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Millwall	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Middlesbrough	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Blackburn	3	1	1	1	+4	4
11	QPR	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Norwich	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Swansea	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Birmingham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Coventry	3	1	1	1	-1	4
16	Sheffield Weds	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Barnsley	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Rotherham	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Stoke	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Nott'm Forest	3	0	1	2	-3	1
21	Cardiff	2	0	0	2	-3	0
22	Preston	3	0	0	3	-3	0
23	Wycombe	3	0	0	3	-4	0
24	Derby	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bristol City	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Swansea	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Reading	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Cardiff	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Stoke	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Millwall	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Norwich	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Sheffield Weds	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Rotherham	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Preston	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Bournemouth	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Middlesbrough	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Watford	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Huddersfield	3	1	1	1	-2	4
15	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+3	3
16	Derby	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Luton	3	1	0	2	-2	3
18	Nott'm Forest	3	1	0	2	-2	3
19	QPR	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Birmingham	3	0	2	1	-1	2
21	Brentford	2	0	1	1	-1	1
22	Coventry	3	0	1	2	-3	1
23	Barnsley	2	0	0	2	-3	0
24	Wycombe	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.