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Ligue 2

Referee: O Thual

Caen

T S T S U

3–0

Full-time

Valenciennes

T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Valenciennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 29%

43%

14%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

49%

41%

Both score Ø 46%

49%

43%

Average goals

2,5

2,1

Scored

1,3

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%

18 Shots 15

9 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 5

5 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 6. · Valenciennes 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	37	20	11	6	+33	71
2	Angers	37	20	7	10	+14	67
3	St Etienne	37	19	8	10	+18	65
4	Paris FC	37	16	10	11	+7	58
5	Rodez	37	15	12	10	+9	57
6	Caen	37	16	7	14	+3	55
7	Laval	37	14	10	13	-6	52
8	Guingamp	37	13	12	12	+5	51
9	Pau FC	37	13	12	12	+4	51
10	Grenoble	37	13	12	12	+1	51
11	Amiens	37	11	17	9	-2	50
12	Bastia	37	14	8	15	-4	50
13	Bordeaux	37	13	9	15	-3	48
14	Ajaccio	37	12	10	15	-9	46
15	Annecy	37	12	9	16	-1	45
16	Dunkerque	37	12	9	16	-16	45
17	Troyes	37	9	14	14	-7	41
18	Concarneau	37	10	8	19	-15	38
19	Quevilly Rouen	37	6	17	14	-5	35
20	Valenciennes	37	5	12	20	-26	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	18	13	3	2	+16	42
2	Auxerre	18	11	5	2	+22	38
3	Ajaccio	19	10	6	3	+12	36
4	Paris FC	19	10	4	5	+10	34
5	St Etienne	19	10	4	5	+10	34
6	Rodez	18	9	6	3	+11	33
7	Caen	18	10	3	5	+10	33
8	Bordeaux	18	9	5	4	+11	32
9	Grenoble	18	7	7	4	+4	28
10	Bastia	18	8	4	6	-1	28
11	Pau FC	19	7	6	6	+5	27
12	Troyes	18	7	4	7	+3	25
13	Amiens	19	5	10	4	+1	25
14	Laval	19	6	5	8	-8	23
15	Guingamp	18	5	7	6	+4	22
16	Annecy	19	5	6	8	-5	21
17	Concarneau	19	5	5	9	-8	20
18	Valenciennes	19	4	6	9	-9	18
19	Quevilly Rouen	18	3	7	8	-4	16
20	Dunkerque	19	4	4	11	-15	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	19	9	6	4	+11	33
2	St Etienne	18	9	4	5	+8	31
3	Laval	18	8	5	5	+2	29
4	Guingamp	19	8	5	6	+1	29
5	Dunkerque	18	8	5	5	-1	29
6	Angers	19	7	4	8	-2	25
7	Amiens	18	6	7	5	-3	25
8	Annecy	18	7	3	8	+4	24
9	Pau FC	18	6	6	6	-1	24
10	Rodez	19	6	6	7	-2	24
11	Paris FC	18	6	6	6	-3	24
12	Grenoble	19	6	5	8	-3	23
13	Bastia	19	6	4	9	-3	22
14	Caen	19	6	4	9	-7	22
15	Quevilly Rouen	19	3	10	6	-1	19
16	Concarneau	18	5	3	10	-7	18
17	Troyes	19	2	10	7	-10	16
18	Bordeaux	19	4	4	11	-14	16
19	Ajaccio	18	2	4	12	-21	10
20	Valenciennes	18	1	6	11	-17	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.