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2. Bundesliga
Referee: P Alt
1–1
Full-time
Bochum
U U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preußen Münster Bochum
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 30%
25%
35%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 65%
75%
55%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
9 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Preußen Münster 15. · Bochum 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Schalke 04 20 12 3 5 +10 +5.5 39
2 Elversberg 20 11 5 4 +17 -0.2 38
3 Darmstadt 20 10 8 2 +14 +7.7 38
4 Paderborn 20 11 3 6 +8 +10.5 36
5 Hannover 20 10 5 5 +8 +7.1 35
6 Kaiserslautern 20 9 4 7 +8 -1.9 31
7 Hertha 20 8 7 5 +5 -3.1 31
8 Bochum 20 7 5 8 +3 +3.7 26
9 Nurnberg 20 7 5 8 -5 +1.6 26
10 Karlsruhe 20 7 5 8 -7 -14.4 26
11 Holstein Kiel 20 6 6 8 -1 -7.2 24
12 Braunschweig 20 7 3 10 -11 +1.2 24
13 Fortuna Dusseldorf 20 7 2 11 -11 -4.8 23
14 Bielefeld 20 5 6 9 +2 +0.6 21
15 Preußen Münster 20 5 6 9 -7 -5.0 21
16 Dresden 20 5 5 10 -7 +0.3 20
17 Magdeburg 20 6 2 12 -7 +5.1 20
18 Greuther Furth 20 5 4 11 -19 -6.6 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preußen Münster Bochum
1–0 I. Rondic
J. Hendrix
35′
Half-time 1–0
56′
🟨 Koji Miyoshi
59′
K. Miyoshi 1–1
P. Hofmann
61′
🟨 Cajetan Lenz
62′
🔁 O. Olsen
↦ L. Morgalla
62′
🔁 M. Kwarteng
↦ K. Miyoshi
M. Schulz 🔁
↦ I. Rondic
67′
Jorrit Hendrix 🟨
73′
T. Raschl 🔁
↦ Z. Sertdemir
76′
R. Preissinger 🔁
↦ M. Benger
76′
76′
🔁 M. Pannewig
↦ G. Holtmann
Tobias Raschl 🟨
83′
C. Makridis 🔁
↦ O. Batista Meier
85′
S. Yamada 🔁
↦ E. Amenyido
85′
90′
🔁 F. Alfa-Ruprecht
↦ C. Marshall
Full-time 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,57
U ✓
3,35
B
2,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,72
U2,5 ✓
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Alt · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.