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2. Bundesliga
Referee: A Sather
Elversberg
S U U S S
0–2
Full-time
St Pauli
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elversberg St Pauli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,8
2,7
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 50%
45%
55%
Points per game
1,6
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
64%
64%
Both score Ø 69%
64%
73%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

48% Possession 52%
7 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elversberg 7. · St Pauli 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 11 6 5 0 +13 23
2 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 6 3 2 +12 21
3 Hamburg 11 6 3 2 +9 21
4 Holstein Kiel 11 6 1 4 +0 19
5 Hannover 11 5 3 3 +9 18
6 Kaiserslautern 11 5 3 3 +3 18
7 Elversberg 11 5 3 3 +1 18
8 Nurnberg 11 5 3 3 -1 18
9 Hertha 11 5 0 6 +2 15
10 Greuther Furth 11 4 3 4 +1 15
11 Wehen 11 4 3 4 -1 15
12 Paderborn 11 4 3 4 -3 15
13 Magdeburg 11 3 4 4 +1 13
14 Karlsruhe 11 3 3 5 -1 12
15 Hansa Rostock 11 4 0 7 -6 12
16 Schalke 04 11 3 1 7 -8 10
17 Osnabruck 11 1 3 7 -16 6
18 Braunschweig 11 1 2 8 -15 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elversberg St Pauli
16′
J. Eggestein 0–1
M. Hartel
Hugo Vandermersch 🟨
28′
31′
M. Hartel 0–2
O. Afolayan
Half-time 0–2
Paul Wanner 🟨
50′
53′
🟨 Jackson Irvine
L. Dürholtz 🔁
↦ P. Stock
60′
D. Martinović 🔁
↦ L. Schnellbacher
61′
M. Feil 🔁
↦ P. Wanner
61′
69′
🔁 E. Saad
↦ C. Metcalfe
J. Boyamba 🔁
↦ J. Rochelt
75′
79′
🔁 E. Amenyido
↦ O. Afolayan
79′
🔁 S. Zoller
↦ J. Eggestein
K. Koffi 🔁
↦ S. Şahin
88′
88′
🔁 L. Ritzka
↦ M. Hartel
88′
🔁 C. Boukhalfa
↦ M. Saliakas
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Elversberg

4-4-2
20 N. Kristof G
18 H. Vandermersch D
23 C. Sickinger D
5 F. Jäkel D
33 M. Neubauer D
17 P. Wanner M
14 R. Fellhauer M
8 S. Şahin M
10 J. Rochelt M
21 P. Stock F
24 L. Schnellbacher F
Bench (9)
11 L. Dürholtz
9 D. Martinović
7 M. Feil
22 J. Boyamba
30 K. Koffi
19 L. Pinckert
26 A. Sicker
4 K. Conrad
28 T. Boss

Coach: H. Steffen

St Pauli

3-4-3
22 N. Vasilj G
25 A. Dźwigała D
5 H. Wahl D
3 K. Mets D
2 M. Saliakas M
7 J. Irvine M
10 M. Hartel M
23 P. Treu M
24 C. Metcalfe F
11 J. Eggestein F
17 O. Afolayan F
Bench (9)
26 E. Saad
14 E. Amenyido
6 S. Zoller
21 L. Ritzka
16 C. Boukhalfa
30 S. Burchert
4 D. Nemeth
19 A. Albers
15 D. Sinani

Coach: F. Hürzeler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,45
U
3,73
B ✓
1,99
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,64
U2,5 ✓
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Sather · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.