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Eredivisie

Referee: D Makkelie

Vitesse

S U S T T

0–1

Full-time

AZ Alkmaar

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

4,3

Scored

1,7

2,5

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 42%

22%

61%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

65%

Both score Ø 66%

57%

74%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,2

2,1

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%

12 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 6

3 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vitesse 13. · AZ Alkmaar 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	23	15	7	1	+31	52
2	Ajax	23	14	7	2	+42	49
3	AZ Alkmaar	23	14	5	4	+21	47
4	PSV Eindhoven	23	14	4	5	+32	46
5	Twente	21	11	6	4	+19	39
6	Sparta Rotterdam	20	10	6	4	+12	36
7	Waalwijk	23	8	8	7	+3	32
8	Utrecht	21	8	7	6	-2	31
9	Nijmegen	23	6	12	5	+8	30
10	Heerenveen	22	7	6	9	-6	27
11	Go Ahead Eagles	23	6	8	9	-6	26
12	For Sittard	23	7	5	11	-11	26
13	Vitesse	23	5	8	10	-13	23
14	Volendam	23	5	5	13	-27	20
15	Excelsior	23	6	2	15	-34	20
16	FC Emmen	23	3	9	11	-20	18
17	Groningen	23	4	5	14	-23	17
18	Cambuur	23	3	4	16	-26	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	10	1	1	+29	31
2	Twente	11	9	2	0	+24	29
3	Feyenoord	11	7	4	0	+17	25
4	Ajax	11	6	4	1	+25	22
5	Sparta Rotterdam	10	7	1	2	+11	22
6	AZ Alkmaar	11	6	4	1	+10	22
7	Waalwijk	11	6	3	2	+11	21
8	Nijmegen	12	3	8	1	+9	17
9	Utrecht	10	4	4	2	+1	16
10	Go Ahead Eagles	12	4	4	4	-1	16
11	Excelsior	11	5	1	5	-6	16
12	FC Emmen	12	2	8	2	-2	14
13	Volendam	11	4	1	6	-9	13
14	Groningen	12	3	3	6	-4	12
15	For Sittard	12	3	3	6	-5	12
16	Heerenveen	11	3	2	6	-6	11
17	Vitesse	11	2	4	5	-10	10
18	Cambuur	12	1	0	11	-19	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	8	3	1	+17	27
2	Feyenoord	12	8	3	1	+14	27
3	AZ Alkmaar	12	8	1	3	+11	25
4	Heerenveen	11	4	4	3	+0	16
5	PSV Eindhoven	11	4	3	4	+3	15
6	Utrecht	11	4	3	4	-3	15
7	Sparta Rotterdam	10	3	5	2	+1	14
8	For Sittard	11	4	2	5	-6	14
9	Nijmegen	11	3	4	4	-1	13
10	Vitesse	12	3	4	5	-3	13
11	Waalwijk	12	2	5	5	-8	11
12	Go Ahead Eagles	11	2	4	5	-5	10
13	Twente	10	2	4	4	-5	10
14	Cambuur	11	2	4	5	-7	10
15	Volendam	12	1	4	7	-18	7
16	Groningen	11	1	2	8	-19	5
17	FC Emmen	11	1	1	9	-18	4
18	Excelsior	12	1	1	10	-28	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.