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Championship

Referee: J Simpson

Sheffield Weds

S T T T T

1–0

Full-time

Bournemouth

U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Bournemouth

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

This season — Championship · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 33%

22%

44%

Points per game

0,9

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 22%

22%

Both score Ø 45%

22%

67%

Average goals

1,7

2,1

Scored

0,6

1,3

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

10 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 7

3 Offside 0

23 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Sheffield Weds 20. · Bournemouth 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	9	7	1	1	+11	22
2	Swansea	9	5	3	1	+7	18
3	Bournemouth	9	4	5	0	+5	17
4	Norwich	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	Middlesbrough	9	4	4	1	+4	16
6	Watford	9	4	3	2	+3	15
7	Millwall	9	4	3	2	+2	15
8	Stoke	9	4	3	2	+1	15
9	Brentford	9	4	2	3	+5	14
10	Bristol City	9	4	2	3	+2	14
11	Birmingham	9	3	4	2	+1	13
12	Huddersfield	9	4	1	4	+0	13
13	Luton	9	4	1	4	-3	13
14	Blackburn	9	3	1	5	+5	10
15	Barnsley	9	2	4	3	+0	10
16	Preston	9	3	1	5	-1	10
17	Cardiff	9	2	4	3	-1	10
18	QPR	9	2	4	3	-3	10
19	Rotherham	9	2	3	4	-2	9
20	Sheffield Weds	9	2	2	5	-5	8
21	Coventry	9	2	2	5	-9	8
22	Nott'm Forest	9	1	3	5	-6	6
23	Derby	9	1	3	5	-8	6
24	Wycombe	9	1	1	7	-12	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Middlesbrough	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Bournemouth	5	3	2	0	+3	11
4	Swansea	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Watford	4	3	1	0	+4	10
6	Barnsley	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	QPR	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Stoke	5	2	2	1	+0	8
9	Brentford	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Norwich	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Birmingham	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Bristol City	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Luton	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Coventry	5	2	1	2	-4	7
15	Huddersfield	4	2	0	2	+0	6
16	Millwall	5	1	3	1	-1	6
17	Blackburn	4	1	1	2	+2	4
18	Rotherham	4	1	1	2	+1	4
19	Wycombe	5	1	1	3	-3	4
20	Sheffield Weds	4	0	2	2	-2	2
21	Nott'm Forest	4	0	2	2	-3	2
22	Cardiff	4	0	2	2	-3	2
23	Derby	4	0	1	3	-7	1
24	Preston	5	0	0	5	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Reading	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Norwich	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Millwall	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Swansea	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Cardiff	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Brentford	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Bristol City	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Stoke	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Huddersfield	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Blackburn	5	2	0	3	+3	6
12	Bournemouth	4	1	3	0	+2	6
13	Birmingham	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Luton	4	2	0	2	-1	6
15	Sheffield Weds	5	2	0	3	-3	6
16	Middlesbrough	4	1	2	1	+0	5
17	Derby	5	1	2	2	-1	5
18	Watford	5	1	2	2	-1	5
19	Rotherham	5	1	2	2	-3	5
20	Nott'm Forest	5	1	1	3	-3	4
21	Barnsley	4	0	2	2	-3	2
22	QPR	4	0	2	2	-4	2
23	Coventry	4	0	1	3	-5	1
24	Wycombe	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.