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Premier League
Referee: M Atkinson
Liverpool
T T T T S
0–1
Full-time
Chelsea
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
This season — Premier League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 46%
46%
46%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
54%
46%
Both score Ø 50%
58%
42%
Average goals
3,1
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
7 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 8
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Liverpool 7. · Chelsea 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 27 20 5 2 +39 65
2 Man United 27 14 9 4 +21 51
3 Leicester 27 15 5 7 +15 50
4 Everton 26 14 4 8 +6 46
5 West Ham 26 13 6 7 +9 45
6 Chelsea 26 12 8 6 +16 44
7 Liverpool 26 12 7 7 +13 43
8 Tottenham 26 12 6 8 +15 42
9 Aston Villa 25 12 3 10 +11 39
10 Arsenal 26 11 4 11 +7 37
11 Leeds 26 11 2 13 -1 35
12 Wolves 27 9 7 11 -9 34
13 Crystal Palace 27 9 7 11 -14 34
14 Southampton 26 8 6 12 -13 30
15 Burnley 27 7 8 12 -16 29
16 Brighton 26 5 11 10 -7 26
17 Newcastle 26 7 5 14 -17 26
18 Fulham 27 4 11 12 -12 23
19 West Brom 27 3 8 16 -36 17
20 Sheffield United 27 4 2 21 -27 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,26
U
3,59
B ✓
3,10
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Atkinson · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
17,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.