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Eliteserien
Referee: Mathias Stofringshaug
Kristiansund
S U U U T
0–0
Full-time
Sarpsborg 08
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Sarpsborg 08
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 14/12 matches
Win Ø 39%
36%
42%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 66%
64%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,72 xG 3,83
31% Possession 69%
6 Shots 32
3 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 9
9 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 12
1 Offside 2
3 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kristiansund 10. · Sarpsborg 08 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Viking 15 11 3 1 +22 +16.5 36
2 Brann 14 8 3 3 +3 +13.4 27
3 Tromso 12 8 1 3 +6 +2.2 25
4 Bodo/Glimt 12 7 2 3 +16 +14.1 23
5 Rosenborg 14 6 5 3 +1 +6.1 23
6 Sandefjord 13 7 0 6 +4 -4.0 21
7 Fredrikstad 14 6 3 5 +3 -1.5 21
8 Sarpsborg 08 12 5 5 2 +9 +5.7 20
9 Bryne 13 5 3 5 -2 -0.3 18
10 Kristiansund 14 5 3 6 -2 -7.2 18
11 Valerenga 14 4 3 7 -3 -1.5 15
12 Molde 14 4 2 8 -4 -1.8 14
13 Ham-Kam 12 3 4 5 -9 -7.1 13
14 KFUM Oslo 12 3 3 6 -3 -0.2 12
15 Stromsgodset 12 2 0 10 -12 -11.4 6
16 Haugesund 13 0 2 11 -29 -22.9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kristiansund Sarpsborg 08
Marius Olsen 🟥
14′
Marius Olsen ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
14′
I. Jelicic 🔁
↦ R. Corlu
17′
33′
🟨 Sander Christiansen
Half-time 0–0
Ruben Alte 🟨
49′
60′
🔁 J. Berget
↦ A. Sanyang
60′
🔁 N. Sandberg
↦ S. Christiansen
A. Ndour 🔁
↦ M. Isah
64′
69′
🔁 H. Bruseth
↦ H. Tangen
69′
🔁 P. Reinhardsen
↦ E. Wichne
M. Williamsen 🔁
↦ F. Flex
81′
L. Alvheim 🔁
↦ R. Alte
81′
81′
🔁 S. Gudjohnsen
↦ M. Jeahze
87′
🟨 Menno Koch
95′
🟨 Niklas Sandberg
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Kristiansund

4-5-1
26 A. Skjaerstein G
33 H. Haugen
4 M. Olsen
5 D. Ulvestad D
3 F. Flex
10 R. Corlu M
18 N. Odegard M
20 W. Igor M
8 R. Alte M
7 M. Isah
9 S. Kilen
Bench (9)
11 F. Nyenetue
12 A. Saether
17 M. Williamsen
19 L. Alvheim
21 I. Jelicic
24 A. Alemseged
25 A. Ndour
27 A. Ronning
31 H. Opsahl

Coach: Amund Robertsen Skiri

Sarpsborg 08

4-1-4-1
1 M. Ndiaye G
32 E. Wichne D
2 M. Koch D
30 F. Tebo Uchenna D
3 M. Jeahze D
8 S. Christiansen M
22 V. E. Halvorsen
10 H. Tangen M
7 A. Sanyang
27 S. Orjasaeter M
11 D. Karlsbakk F
Bench (9)
4 N. Skuseth
5 M. Odegaard
14 J. Berget
17 H. Bruseth
19 S. Gudjohnsen
20 P. Reinhardsen
23 N. Sandberg
26 D. Job
31 H. Jenssen

Coach: Sander Nyland

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mathias Stofringshaug · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.