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Eliteserien

Referee: Svein Tore Sinnes

Sarpsborg 08

T U U U S

3–1

Full-time

Haugesund

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Haugesund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,5

0,2

Conceded

1,2

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-2,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 11/12 matches

Win Ø 18%

36%

Points per game

1,5

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

45%

58%

Both score Ø 49%

64%

33%

Average goals

2,6

2,9

Scored

1,6

0,3

Conceded

1,0

2,6

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-2,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,69 xG 0,97

61% Possession 39%

19 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 6

8 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

19 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 9. · Haugesund 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	15	11	3	1	+22	+16.5	36
2	Brann	14	8	3	3	+3	+13.4	27
3	Tromso	12	8	1	3	+6	+2.2	25
4	Rosenborg	13	6	5	2	+3	+6.0	23
5	Bodo/Glimt	11	6	2	3	+14	+10.2	20
6	Sandefjord	11	6	0	5	+4	-0.1	18
7	Fredrikstad	13	5	3	5	+1	-2.1	18
8	Kristiansund	14	5	3	6	-2	-7.2	18
9	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	5	2	+7	+5.0	17
10	Valerenga	13	4	3	6	-2	-1.0	15
11	Molde	13	4	2	7	-2	-1.2	14
12	Bryne	11	4	2	5	-3	-0.1	14
13	Ham-Kam	12	3	4	5	-9	-7.1	13
14	KFUM Oslo	11	3	2	6	-3	-0.8	11
15	Stromsgodset	12	2	0	10	-12	-11.4	6
16	Haugesund	12	0	2	10	-27	-22.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	8	6	2	0	+14	+10.8	20
2	Brann	8	5	2	1	+4	+8.1	17
3	Sandefjord	5	5	0	0	+11	+4.6	15
4	Fredrikstad	7	4	1	2	+5	-0.7	13
5	Rosenborg	7	3	4	0	+5	+6.9	13
6	Bodo/Glimt	6	4	0	2	+10	+6.0	12
7	Tromso	6	4	0	2	+2	+3.4	12
8	Bryne	6	3	1	2	+0	+3.3	10
9	Ham-Kam	6	2	2	2	-3	-3.3	8
10	Kristiansund	6	2	1	3	+0	-1.5	7
11	KFUM Oslo	5	2	0	3	+2	-0.5	6
12	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	2	2	+2	+3.6	5
13	Valerenga	6	1	2	3	-3	-1.2	5
14	Molde	6	1	1	4	-4	+0.9	4
15	Haugesund	6	0	2	4	-14	-6.7	2
16	Stromsgodset	6	0	0	6	-10	-4.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	7	5	1	1	+8	+5.7	16
2	Tromso	6	4	1	1	+4	-1.2	13
3	Sarpsborg 08	6	3	3	0	+5	+1.3	12
4	Kristiansund	8	3	2	3	-2	-5.7	11
5	Molde	7	3	1	3	+2	-2.2	10
6	Valerenga	7	3	1	3	+1	+0.2	10
7	Brann	6	3	1	2	-1	+5.3	10
8	Rosenborg	6	3	1	2	-2	-0.8	10
9	Bodo/Glimt	5	2	2	1	+4	+4.2	8
10	Stromsgodset	6	2	0	4	-2	-6.5	6
11	Fredrikstad	6	1	2	3	-4	-1.4	5
12	KFUM Oslo	6	1	2	3	-5	-0.4	5
13	Ham-Kam	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.7	5
14	Bryne	5	1	1	3	-3	-3.4	4
15	Sandefjord	6	1	0	5	-7	-4.7	3
16	Haugesund	6	0	0	6	-13	-15.5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.