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Eliteserien

Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner

Sarpsborg 08

S U S T U

1–1

Full-time

Bryne

T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Bryne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

33%

44%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

44%

78%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,91 xG 0,72

51% Possession 49%

7 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 9. · Bryne 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	12	9	2	1	+18	+13.7	29
2	Brann	12	7	2	3	+2	+10.4	23
3	Rosenborg	11	6	4	1	+6	+6.7	22
4	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	1	2	+15	+7.7	19
5	Fredrikstad	10	5	2	3	+5	-2.9	17
6	Tromso	9	5	1	3	+2	+1.6	16
7	Sandefjord	9	5	0	4	+1	+0.5	15
8	Molde	11	4	2	5	+0	+0.8	14
9	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	4	2	+6	+5.2	13
10	Kristiansund	11	4	1	6	-5	-5.9	13
11	Bryne	9	4	0	5	-3	+0.8	12
12	Valerenga	11	3	2	6	-4	-1.9	11
13	Ham-Kam	9	3	2	4	-7	-6.2	11
14	Stromsgodset	9	2	0	7	-4	-6.4	6
15	KFUM Oslo	9	1	2	6	-9	-2.9	5
16	Haugesund	10	0	1	9	-23	-21.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	6	4	2	0	+10	+8.1	14
2	Brann	7	4	2	1	+3	+6.7	14
3	Fredrikstad	6	4	1	1	+6	-1.5	13
4	Bodo/Glimt	5	4	0	1	+11	+5.6	12
5	Sandefjord	4	4	0	0	+7	+3.8	12
6	Rosenborg	6	3	3	0	+5	+7.0	12
7	Tromso	5	3	0	2	+1	+2.1	9
8	Bryne	5	3	0	2	+0	+4.1	9
9	Ham-Kam	4	2	1	1	-1	-1.8	7
10	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	1	2	+2	+3.5	4
11	Valerenga	5	1	1	3	-3	-1.0	4
12	Molde	5	1	1	3	-3	+1.6	4
13	KFUM Oslo	4	1	0	3	-3	-1.8	3
14	Kristiansund	4	1	0	3	-3	+0.1	3
15	Haugesund	5	0	1	4	-14	-6.5	1
16	Stromsgodset	5	0	0	5	-8	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	6	5	0	1	+8	+5.6	15
2	Molde	6	3	1	2	+3	-0.9	10
3	Rosenborg	5	3	1	1	+1	-0.3	10
4	Kristiansund	7	3	1	3	-2	-5.9	10
5	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	3	0	+4	+1.7	9
6	Brann	5	3	0	2	-1	+3.7	9
7	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+4	+2.1	7
8	Tromso	4	2	1	1	+1	-0.5	7
9	Valerenga	6	2	1	3	-1	-0.9	7
10	Stromsgodset	4	2	0	2	+4	-2.6	6
11	Fredrikstad	4	1	1	2	-1	-1.5	4
12	Ham-Kam	5	1	1	3	-6	-4.5	4
13	Bryne	4	1	0	3	-3	-3.2	3
14	Sandefjord	5	1	0	4	-6	-3.3	3
15	KFUM Oslo	5	0	2	3	-6	-1.1	2
16	Haugesund	5	0	0	5	-9	-14.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.