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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
1–0
Full-time
Oostende
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 28%
28%
28%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
56%
44%
Both score Ø 58%
72%
44%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
3 Corners 7
7 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 9. · Oostende 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 13 11 1 1 +20 34
2 Anderlecht 12 9 2 1 +12 29
3 Antwerp 18 7 7 4 +3 28
4 St Truiden 18 7 6 5 -2 27
5 Charleroi 12 7 4 1 +9 25
6 Beveren 18 7 3 8 +3 24
7 Gent 13 7 2 4 +10 23
8 Waregem 18 6 2 10 -3 20
9 Royal Excel Mouscron 18 5 5 8 -7 20
10 Oostende 18 5 4 9 -2 19
11 Mechelen 18 4 6 8 -7 18
12 Standard 12 4 5 3 +0 17
13 Kortrijk 18 4 5 9 -10 17
14 Lokeren 18 4 5 9 -10 17
15 Genk 12 3 7 2 +2 16
16 Eupen 18 2 6 10 -18 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Oostende
Joyce Lomalisa 🟨
15′
Half-time 0–0
70′
🔁 Fernando Canesin
↦ K. Vandendriessche
1–0 S. Amallah
71′
76′
🔁 I. Conté
↦ H. Özkan
77′
🔁 J. Akpala
↦ R. Rezaeian
F. Boya 🔁
↦ T. Awoniyi
86′
D. Rotariu 🔁
↦ J. Bolingi
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-4-2
33 J. Butez G
28 J. Huyghebaert D
4 T. Mézague D
3 N. De Medina
13 L. Mutambala
27 M. Vojvoda D
11 D. Mohamed F
30 B. Van Durmen
21 S. Amallah M
18 T. Awoniyi F
10 J. Bolingi F
Bench (7)
15 F. Boya
95 D. Rotariu
7 F. Olinga
9 Y. Mbombo
14 S. Spahiu
22 S. Locigno
1 O. Werner

Coach: M. Rednic

Oostende

3-4-1-2
28 W. Dutoît G
6 N. Lombaerts D
27 B. Capon D
33 Ž. Tomašević D
24 R. Rezaeian D
44 A. Milić D
7 S. Siani M
26 K. Vandendriessche M
36 H. Özkan M
93 Z. Gano F
9 R. Zivkovic F
Bench (7)
55 Fernando Canesin
66 I. Conté
17 J. Akpala
3 R. Bushiri
12 E. Banda
15 A. Jali
21 M. Vanhamel

Coach: A. Čustović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.